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Several developing economies witnessed a large number of systemic financial and currency crises since the 1980s which resulted in severe economic, social, and political problems. The devastating impact of the 1982 and 1994-95 Mexican crises, the 1997-98 Asian financial crisis, the 1998 Russian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003887495
This paper proposes a macro-prudential financial soundness analysis that can be used by most developing and transformation countries with or without crisis experience as well as by developed countries with limited data. The objective is to detect economic and financial sector vulnerability,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003897420
German policy during the Eurozone crisis supposedly follows an ordoliberal tradition. In this paper, we discuss to what extent this contention holds and to what extent Germany pragmatically responded to different crisis phenomena. A proper analysis of ordoliberal thinking reveals that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010528303
The paper compares the boom-and-bust cycles in Japan and Europe with respect to the reasons for excessive booms, the characteristics of the crises, and the (potential) effects of the crisis therapies. As in Japan the consequence of expansionary monetary and fiscal policies is the hysteresis of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009743745
We propose a theoretical framework to reconcile episodes of V-shaped and L-shaped recovery, encompassing the behaviour of the U.S. economy before and after the Great Recession. In a DSGE model with endogenous growth, negative demand shocks destroy productive capacity, moving GDP to a lower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533939
a leading emerging market, namely China, using difference-in-differences and GARCH approaches. Before the crisis China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010518789
We analyze the transmission of global financial crisis to business cycles in China and India. The pattern of business …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003861779
We use the Kalman filter to estimate the structure of the secret currency basket of the renminbi based on daily data between 2005 and 2009. The currency weights of selected currencies are modeled as stochastic processes (random walks). The official announcement of the new exchange rate regime in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003997605
This paper studies the performance of China's exports during the 2008-2009 financial crisis. It focuses on the speed at … which China's exports were hit by this downturn. Product-country monthly exports data is utilized. It is found that GDP … trade prior to the crisis are hit by the recession earlier than other products. -- China ; exports collapse ; speed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009303944
Using data on Chinese large-scale overseas investment and project contracts by sector, we analyze whether Chinese outward activity (COA) before the crisis worsened or alleviated the contractionary phases in developing countries. We find that, on average, COA did not increase vulnerability to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011420791