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beginning of their terms, but in line with the preferences of single-issue minorities as they approach re-election. To assess …'s predictions, election proximity has a pro-gun effect on Democratic senators and a pro-environment effect on Republican senators … size. Also in line with our theory, election proximity has no impact on senators' decisions on reproductive rights, because …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011814857
During the last decade unicameral proposals have been put forward in fourteen US states. In this paper we propose a theoretical framework casting some lights on the drawbacks of bicameral state legislatures and on the effects of the proposed constitutional reforms. In a setting where lawmakers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003850512
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003377072
uncertain prospects of re-election, find it optimal to follow relatively shortsighted fiscal policies, and that this lowers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011511068
Politicians seeking reelection need voters to know what they have done for them. Thus, incentives may arise to spend more money where media coverage is higher. We present a simple model to explain the allocation of public spending across jurisdictions contingent on media activity. An incumbent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003803533
year of a gubernatorial election, the elasticity of investment to the eventual margin of victory is 0.027. Both the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451061
they cannot run for re-election. Consistent with the Law of 1/N, this tendency is less pronounced in states with many …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009011938
A common narrative is that COVID-19 cost Trump re-election. We do not find supporting evidence; if anything, the … effect, our estimates imply Trump would been on the precipice of re-election by winning Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, and only …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012421123
election relative to an analogous impact for men who closely win or lose a state legislature election. We find that the effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012064423
Through social media, politicians can personalize their campaigns and target specific groups of voters with an unprecedented precision. We assess the effects of such political micro-targeting by exploiting daily advertising prices on Facebook during the 2016 US presidential campaign. We measure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012206082