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Capital flows in the euro area and TARGET2 balances
Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Wollmershäuser, Timo - 2018
We estimate a panel VAR model for the euro area to quantitatively asses the contribution of the TARGET2 system to the propagation of different types of structural economic shocks as well as to the historical evolution of aggregate economic activity in euro area member countries. Our results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011793977
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Inter-temporal savings, current account dynamics and asymmetric shocks in a heterogeneous European Monetary Union
Schnabl, Gunther; Zemanek, Holger - 2010
theory of optimum currency areas. We show that the asymmetric shock of the German unification can be seen not only as the … round of monetary expansion in the EMU. -- monetary union ; German unification ; asymmetric shock ; current account …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008798227
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Inter-temporal savings, current account dynamics and asymmetric shocks in a heterogeneous European monetary union
Schnabl, Gunther; Zemanek, Holger - 2011
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009356814
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Loan supply shocks during the financial crisis : evidence for the Euro Area
Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Wollmershäuser, Timo - 2011
This paper employs a panel vector autoregressive model for the member countries of the Euro Area to explore the role of banks during the slump of the real economy that followed the financial crisis. In particular, we seek to quantify the macroeconomic effects of adverse loan supply shocks, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009012054
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Country-specific oil supply shocks and the global economy : a counterfactual analysis
Mohaddes, Kamiar; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2015
the shock. In particular, we find that adverse shocks to Iranian oil output are neutralized in terms of their effects on … contrast, a negative shock to oil supply in Saudi Arabia leads to an immediate and permanent increase in oil prices, given that … supply shock has significant adverse effects for the global economy with real GDP falling in both advanced and emerging …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010528313
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The econometrics of oil market VAR Models
Kilian, Lutz; Zhou, Xiaoqing - 2020
Oil market VAR models have become the standard tool for understanding the evolution of the real price of oil and its impact in the macro economy. As this literature has expanded at a rapid pace, it has become increasingly difficult for mainstream economists to understand the differences between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012174841
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Structural interpretation of vector autoregressions with incomplete information : revisiting the role of oil supply and demand shocks : comment
Kilian, Lutz; Zhou, Xiaoqing - 2018
Recently, Baumeister and Hamilton (henceforth: BH) have argued that existing studies of the global oil market fail to account for uncertainty about their identifying assumptions. They recommend an alternative econometric approach intended to address this concern by formulating priors on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011882307
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Oil rents shocks and inequality in Iran
Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza; Krieger, Tim - 2018 - This version: January 2018
and statistically significant response of income inequality to oil rent booms within 4 years of the shock. In addition …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011793996
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Structural interpretation of vector autoregressions with incomplete identification : revisiting the role of oil supply and demand shocks
Baumeister, Christiane; Hamilton, James D. - 2017 - Revised December 21, 2017
Traditional approaches to structural vector autoregressions can be viewed as special cases of Bayesian inference arising from very strong prior beliefs. These methods can be generalized with a less restrictive formulation that incorporates uncertainty about the identifying assumptions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011782040
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Effectiveness and transmission of the ECB's balance sheet policies
Boeckx, Jef; Bossche, Maarten; Peersman, Gert - 2014
crisis within a structural VAR framework. An expansionary balance sheet shock stimulates bank lending, stabilizes financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010383862