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Davies, Ronald B.; Specht, Lena S. - 2024

This paper examines the impact of Brexit on international student migration. In a structural gravity model, we estimate student migration between 69 countries for counterfactual scenarios in which the United Kingdom leaves the European Union one year before the referendum. This exercise reveals...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014470430

Oil trade and climate policy : presented at CESifo Area Conference on Energy and Climate Economics, October 2014

Curuk, Malik; Sen, Suphi - 2015

It has been argued that a depletable resource owner might optimally increase near-term supply in response to environmental policies promoting the development of alternative resources, which might render climate policy ineffective or even counterproductive. This paper empirically confirms this...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010498602

The Covid-19 pandemic and European trade flows : evidence from a dynamic panel model

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Sova, Anamaria Diana; Sova, … - 2022

This paper investigates the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on trade flows in the case of the European countries. First, an ARDL dynamic panel model is estimated using the PMG method to analyse monthly data covering the most recent period (2019M1-2021M12); then, the GMM and PCSE approaches are...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013285828

Currency unions, trade, and heterogeneity

Chen, Natalie; Novy, Dennis - 2018

How do trade costs affect international trade? This paper offers a new approach. We rely on a flexible gravity equation that predicts variable trade cost elasticities, both across and within country pairs. We apply this framework to the effect of currency unions on international trade. While we...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011867116

Subnational income growth and international border effects

Adam, Hanna L.; Larch, Mario; Stadelmann, David - 2021

This paper analyses the effect of international borders and of trade agreements at international borders on subnational (i.e. regional) growth. We construct an extensive panel dataset covering 1,350 regions in 86 countries worldwide between 1950 and 2017. Our results show that international...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533891

The trade impact of the Covid-19 pandemic

Liu, Xuepeng; Ornelas, Emanuel; Shi, Huimin - 2021

Using a gravity-like approach, we study how Covid-19 deaths and lockdown policies affected countries' imports from China during 2020. We find that a country's own Covid-19 deaths and lockdowns significantly reduced its imports from China, suggesting that the negative demand effects prevailed...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533941

Trade in times of uncertainty

Matzner, Anna Hilda; Meyer, Birgit; Oberhofer, Harald - 2023

This paper analyses the direct and indirect trade volume and trade cost effects of uncertainty on international trade and economic welfare using a structural gravity framework for a panel of 97 developed and developing countries from 2000 to 2018. Our results suggest that an increase in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013550200

Forecasting exports across Europe : what are the superior survey indicators?

Lehmann, Robert - 2019 - This version: September 6, 2019

branches to forecasting export growth across a multitude of European countries. Our pseudo out-of-sample analyses reveal that … indicators are superior: the Export Climate, the Production Expectations of domestic manufacturing firms, the Industrial … forecasters in order to choose the best-performing indicators and thus increasing the accuracy of export forecasts. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012104016

The collapse speed of China's exports in the 2008-2009 financial crisis

Jing, Ran - 2011

This paper studies the performance of China's exports during the 2008-2009 financial crisis. It focuses on the speed at which China's exports were hit by this downturn. Product-country monthly exports data is utilized. It is found that GDP growth rates of importing countries play an important...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009303944

Cultural integration and export variety overlap across countries

Egger, Peter; Lassman, Andrea - 2014

This paper assesses the role of a larger degree of common language use between the populations of two countries on the so-called extensive product margin of trade. We focus on the overlap of products exported or imported between any pair of countries. The results suggest that the effect of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010354788

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