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I analyze the optimal design of banking supervision in the presence of cross-border lending. Cross-border lending could imply that an individual bank failure in one country could trigger negative spillover effects in another country. Such cross-border contagion effects could turn out to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011514035
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003688885
. We show that the risk allocation is efficient if there is no workout of banking crises. In this case, banks will shift … part of the risk to depositors. In contrast, under a workout of banking crises, depositors receive non-contingent contracts … generations, even if the underlying risk is small or zero. This provides a new justification for capital requirements. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011409445
The financial crisis of 2007-2008 had major implications for the foreign exchange market. We review events and implications for exchange rates, volatility, returns to currency investing, and transaction costs. This blow-by-blowʺ narrative is intended to be a resource for researchers seeking a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003861767
We argue that since there are several impediments to international risk sharing, the welfare gains from full … international risk sharing, which have been the object of analysis in the previous literature, are not suggestive. Instead, we study … the gains from feasible risk sharing and find that they are considerable (0:5% increase inpermanent consumption). Marginal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398778
We investigate empirically how industrialized countries and U.S. states share consumption risk at horizons between one … and thirty years. U.S. federal states share about 50 percent of their permanent idiosyncratic risk through cross … share any of their permanent idiosyncratic risk. Our results suggest that purely transaction cost based theories cannot …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011404294
This survey features three parts. The first one covers the recent literature on domestic (i.e., country-specific) uncertainty and offers ten main takeaways. The second part reviews contributions on the fast-growing strand of the literature focusing on the macroeconomic effects of uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012119543
We estimate a three-variate VAR using proxies of global financial uncertainty, the global financial cycle, and world industrial production to simulate the effects of the jump in financial uncertainty observed in correspondence of the Covid-19 outbreak. We predict the cumulative loss in world...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012213164
We estimate a novel measure of global financial uncertainty (GFU) with a dynamic factor framework that jointly models global, regional, and country-specific factors. We quantify the impact of GFU shocks on global output with a VAR analysis that achieves set-identification via a combination of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012431805
This paper presents the novel results from an internationally coordinated project by the International Banking Research Network (IBRN) on the cross-border transmission of conventional and unconventional monetary policy through banks. Teams from seventeen countries use confidential micro-banking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011877813