Showing 1 - 10 of 1,389
stronger than that of the long end (i.e., of long term ones). In other words, a financial uncertainty shock causes a temporary … recovery in real activity after a financial uncertainty shock. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012029082
We develop uncertainty indices for the United States and Australia based on freely accessible, real time Google Trends data. Our Google Trends Uncertainty (GTU) indices are found to be positively correlated to a variety of alternative proxies for uncertainty available for these two countries....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011735982
estimate the median to lie too close to the distribution's center. The observed bias in expectations is irrespective to risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010345197
endogenous aggregate risk. This risk induces an endogenous regime-switching process for output, the risk-free rate, excess …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012260513
the period 1972:1-2014:12 to forecasts our tail risk indicators with each model in pseudo-real time. Our key finding is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010498601
Terrorist events typically vary along many dimensions, making it difficult to identify their economic effects. This paper analyzes the impact of terrorism on international trade by examining a series of three large-scale terrorist incidents in France over the period from January 2015 to July...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533940
Labour incomes depend on structural as well as politico-economic factors, because labour market policies partially remedy the financial market imperfections that make labour income shocks difficult to insure, and have different implications for labour and capital income. This paper illustrates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011444492
We estimate a logit mixture vector autoregressive model describing monetary policy transmission in the euro area over the period 2003Q1–2019Q4 with a special emphasis on credit conditions. With the help of this model, monetary policy transmission can be described as mixture of two states...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012383710
This paper proposes a novel mechanism by which changes in the distribution of money holdings have real effects. Specifically, I develop a flexible-price model of segmented asset markets that generates real aggregate effects of monetary policy through the dependence of optimal markups on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011653639
This paper investigates how financial market imperfections and the frequency of price adjustment interact. Based on new firm-level evidence for Germany, we document that financially constrained firms adjust prices more often than their unconstrained counterparts, both upwards and downwards. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011597241