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Does it pay to fulfill the Maastricht convergence criteria? : reflections on the public debt and growth nexus for selected European economies
Bökemeier, Bettina; Clemens, Christiane - 2016
the public budget and participation in the Euro-zone. The analysis is based on data of European economies with a special … focus on twelve Euro-zone members and a control group of six non-Euro countries for the years from 1970 to 2014. The results … European economies outside the Euro-zone shows higher growth values for Euro-members than for the control group. Regression …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011557773
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Public finances solvency in the Euro Area : true or false?
Afonso, António; Coelho, José Carlos - 2022
We assess public finances solvency for Euro Area countries using quarterly data between 1999Q1 and 2020Q4. Through a country-by-country analysis, the answer to the title question is true. For most countries, (i) the primary budget balance reacts positively to the lagged public debt ratio and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013365375
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Hypnosis before wake-up call?! : the revival of sovereign credit risk perception in the EMU-crisis
Bordon, Ingo G.; Schmid, Kai D.; Schmidt, Michael - 2014 - This Version: July 2014
This paper qualifies the view of pronounced overpricing of sovereign bonds for the so-called GIIPS countries during the financial crisis. We use annual data for 21 OECD countries from 1980 to 2012. As opposed to related studies, our data set allows us to contrast the pricing of macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010393624
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Fiscal sustainability, fiscal reactions, pitfalls and determinants
Afonso, António; Coelho, José Carlos - 2022
We examine the sustainability of public finances and its determinants for 19 Eurozone countries from 1995 to 2020. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013162289
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Monetary policy surprise shocks under different fiscal regimes : a panel analysis of the Euro Area
Afonso, António; Alves, José; Ionta, Serena - 2023
We study the effect of monetary policy surprise shocks on real output and the price level, conditioned on different fiscal stances in the period 2001Q4-2021Q4 for a panel of the 19 countries of the Euro Area. Applying local projection methodology, we find that the effect of monetary shocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014336399
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Trust in government and fiscal adjustments
Bursian, Dirk; Weichenrieder, Alfons J.; Zimmer, Jochen - 2013
The paper looks at the determinants of fiscal adjustments as reflected in the primary surplus of countries. Our conjecture is that governments will usually find it more attractive to pursue fiscal adjustments in a situation of relatively high growth, but based on a simple stylized model of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009764994
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Euro membership and fiscal reaction functions
Weichenrieder, Alfons J.; Zimmer, Jochen - 2013
The paper uses fiscal reaction functions for a panel of euro-area countries to investigate whether euro membership has reduced the responsiveness of countries to shocks in the level of inherited debt compared to the period prior to succession to the euro. While we find some evidence for such a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009748386
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"Whatever it takes" to resolve the European sovereign debt crisis? : bond pricing regime switches and monetary policy effects
Afonso, António; Arghyrou, Michael Georgiou; Gadea, … - 2017
This paper investigates the role of unconventional monetary policy as a source of time-variation in the relationship between sovereign bond yield spreads and their fundamental determinants. Our results provide evidence of a new bond-pricing regime following the announcement of the Outright...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011735972
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Can central banks do the unpleasant job that governments should do?
Dimakopoulou, Vasiliki; Oikonomidēs, Geōrgios; … - 2023
We investigate what happens when the fiscal authorities do not react to rising public debt so that the unpleasant task of fiscal sustainability falls upon the Central Bank (CB). In particular, we explore whether the CB's bond purchases in the secondary market can restore stability and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014331713
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Fiscal sustainability and the role of inflation
Afonso, António; Alves, José; Matvejevs, Oļegs; … - 2023
We examine the relationship between inflation and fiscal sustainability with a two-step approach. In the first step, we estimate to estimate a country-specific time-varying measure of fiscal sustainability using the fiscal reaction function. This function captures the response of the primary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014444867