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Since a series of crisis events after 2007, the discussion about the adjustment channels of current account imbalances has been revived. We discuss the effectiveness of exchange rates versus macroeconomic policies to rebalance current accounts for a set of 86 mainly emerging market economies. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010431297
During the past three decades, Japan s current account experienced five large swings. The yen appreciated considerably in periods when the current account boomed, and it depreciated whenever Japan s external performance weakened. However, there has always been a certain lag in the adjustment of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011404619
Since 2004, China has been backed into a situation where the renminbi is expected to go ever higher against the dollar, and this one-way bet has led to a loss of domestic monetary control. Combined with a more general flight from the U.S. dollar, the resulting monetary explosion in China...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003749649
This paper presents a two-country two-commodity dynamic model with free international asset trade in which one country … stagnant country's current account depreciate the home currency, expand home employment and improve the foreign terms of trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010250169
exchange rate flexibility would have affected the German trade balance (TB) by simulating the shocks of the estimated model …. Results suggest an around 2 pp lower trade surplus during 2012-15 together with a stronger real effective exchange rate in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011983671
Using two measures of the fiscal position, the cyclically adjusted primary budget balance (CAPB) and the total budget balance, we assess the Twin Deficit Hypothesis for the Euro Area in the period 1995-2020. Furthermore, we estimate time-varying coefficients of the current account balance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012813893
ten years, it has grown to a cumulated 1 Trillion USD. In times of severe trade policy disagreements across the Atlantic … USD. In the former case, national statistics on net services trade disagree by as much as 55 billion USD; in the latter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012065058
We apply a "new" conventional (CAPB-based) measure of fiscal policy, which is less prone to endogeneity issues, and find that a 1-percent of GDP fiscal consolidation leads to the improvement of the current account-to-GDP ratio by approximately 0.8 percent of GDP, while previous research based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157972
Both global imbalances and financial market (de-)regulation feature prominently among the potential causes of the global financial crisis, but they have been largely discussed separately. In this paper, we take a different angle and investigate the relationship between financial market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010436581
The paper analyses the role of fiscal and monetary policy for the development of the current account imbalances in the euro area, including the most recent developments during the coronavirus crisis. Several financial transmission channels such as international bank lending, changes in TARGET2...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012550195