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milder macroeconomic responses to a monetary policy shock estimated with our VAR in presence of high uncertainty. A version …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011781355
In a VAR model of the US, the response of the relative price of durables to a monetary contraction is either flat or mildly positive. It significantly falls only if narrowly defined as the ratio between new house and nondurables prices. These findings survive three identification strategies and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010515460
This paper investigates the heterogeneity of monetary policy transmission under time-varying disagreement regimes using a threshold VAR. Empirically, I establish that during times of high disagreement, prices respond more sluggishly in response to monetary shocks. These stickier prices cause a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012124866
the pre-1980 period. Measuring expectations of future monetary policy rates conditional on a news shock suggests that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011990092
We study the Ramsey optimal monetary policy within the Golosov and Lucas (2007) state-dependent pricing framework. The model provides micro-foundations for a nonlinear Phillips curve: the sensitivity of inflation to activity increases after large shocks due to an endogenous rise in the frequency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015071168
residuals of the policy rule equation at these shock dates accordingly. In spite of its utmost agnostic nature, this approach …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012288003
output) shortly after a monetary policy shock. To overcome this problem, we propose to estimate the VAR parameters under the … restriction that economic theory is not violated, while the shocks are still recursively identified. We solve this optimization …, generates theory-consistent impulse responses, and is as close as possible to the recursive scheme. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013494039
Using 136 United States macroeconomic indicators from 1973 to 2017, and a factor augmented vector autoregression (FAVAR) framework with sign restrictions, we investigate the effects of three structural macroeconomic shocks - monetary, demand, and supply - on the labour market outcomes of black...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157899
effective in State 2. Exogenously differentiating regimes by the level of inflation or the shock size does not reveal state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014444690
The empirical effectiveness of economic policies that operate theoretically through similar channels differs substantially. We document this fact by comparing an easy-to-grasp expectations-based policy, unconventional fiscal policy, with a policy whose implications are harder to understand by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012057290