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Cash flow duration and the term structure of equity returns
Weber, Michael - 2016
The term structure of equity returns is downward-sloping: stocks with high cash flow duration earn 1.10% per month lower returns than short-duration stocks in the cross section. I create a measure of cash flow duration at the firm level using balance sheet data to show this novel fact. Factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011521939
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Equity fund flows and stock market returns in the US before and after the global financial crisis : a VAR-GARCH-in-mean Analysis
Babalos, Vassilios; Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; … - 2016
post-September 2008 period. There are also volatility spillovers from stock market returns to equity fund flows both before …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011482859
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Asymmetric connectedness on the US stock market : bad and good volatility spillovers
Baruník, Jozef; Kočenda, Evžen; Vácha, Lukáš - 2015
This paper suggests how to quantify asymmetries in volatility spillovers that emerge due to bad and good volatility … stocks at the disaggregate level. Moreover, the spillovers of bad and good volatility are transmitted at different magnitudes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010509638
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The standard portfolio choice problem in Germany
Huck, Steffen; Schmidt, Tobias; Weizsäcker, Georg - 2015
We study an investment experiment conducted with a representative sample of German households. Respondents invest in a safe asset and a risky asset whose return is tied to the German stock market. Experimental investments correlate with beliefs about stock market returns and exhibit desirable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011298558
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The dynamics of households' stock market beliefs
Gaudecker, Hans-Martin von; Wogrolly, Axel - 2019
We analyse a long panel of households' stock market beliefs to gain insights into the nature of their expectations formation processes. We classify respondents into one of five groups based on their data and estimate group-wise models of expectations formation. Two of the groups are at opposite...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011996781
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Liquidity risk, credit risk and the overnight interest rate spread : a stochastic volatility modelling approach
Beirne, John; Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Spagnolo, Nicola - 2010
In this paper we model the volatility of the spread between the overnight interest rate and the central bank policy … 2007. During the crisis, the policy spread exhibited signs of volatility, owing to the breakdown in interbank market … activity. The determinants of this volatility are assessed using Stochastic Volatility models to gauge the role played by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003983199
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Evaluation of long-dated investments under uncertain growth trend, volatility and catastrophes
Gollier, Christian - 2012
probability of macroeconomic catastrophes à la Barro (2006), and to the case of an uncertain trend or volatility of growth à la …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009689360
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Macro news and bond yield spreads in the Euro area
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Spagnolo, Fabio; Spagnolo, Nicola - 2014
reaction has increased during the recent financial crisis. News volatility has a significant impact on yield spread volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010417491
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Measuring market expectations
Baumeister, Christiane - 2021
Asset prices are a valuable source of information about financial market participants.expectations about key macroeconomic variables. However, the presence of time-varying risk premia requires an adjustment of market prices to obtain the market’s rational assessment of future price and policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012622575
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Expectation dispersion, uncertainty, and the reaction to news
Born, Benjamin; Dovern, Jonas; Enders, Zeno - 2020
Releases of key macroeconomic indicators are closely watched by financial markets. We investigate the role of expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of the financial market response to news decreases with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404549