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This paper explores the effect of oil price fluctuations on the stock returns of U.S. oil firms using a strategy of identification through heteroskedasticity exploiting the 2020 oil crash. Results are twofold. First, we find that a decline in oil prices statistically significantly reduces stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013205096
show that a greater reliance on foreign market sales increases the conditional volatility of firms' stock returns. The two … economically significant effect on firm-level volatility, although an increase in the intensity of sales through foreign affiliates … has a stronger effect on volatility than a similar change in firms' export intensity. We also uncover evidence consistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011405146
We propose a nonparametric method to study which characteristics provide incremental information for the cross section of expected returns. We use the adaptive group LASSO to select characteristics and to estimate how they affect expected returns nonparametrically. Our method can handle a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011888693
We propose a nonparametric method to test which characteristics provide independent information for the cross section of expected returns. We use the adaptive group LASSO to select characteristics and to estimate how they affect expected returns nonparametrically. Our method can handle a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619632
-skewness, and co-volatility contagion tests. Our analysis is applied to the oil-exchange rate and oil-stock market relationships of … and turbulent oil price volatility episodes with a non-hierarchical k-means clustering algorithm on volatility measures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011922053
that divergence in monetary policy regimes affects forex volatility spillovers but that adding oil to a forex portfolio … shocks dominate forex volatility connectedness, positive shocks prevail when oil and forex markets are assessed jointly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012035050
This paper is concerned with the statistical behavior of oil prices in two ways. It, firstly, applies a combined jump GARCH in order to characterize the behavior of daily, weekly as well as monthly oil prices. Secondly, it relates its empirical results to implications of Hotelling-type resource...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009377786
We employ a wavelet approach and conduct a time-frequency analysis of dynamic correlations between pairs of key traded assets (gold, oil, and stocks) covering the period from 1987 to 2012. The analysis is performed on both intra-day and daily data. We show that heterogeneity in correlations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010515402
production volatility, significantly increases the responsiveness of oil prices to oil shocks. This implies a lower price … volatility. Also the impact of oil shocks on economic activity appears to be significantly stronger in uncertain times. -- oil …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621702
revenues when managed appropriately are a blessing, but their volatility (which in Iran is much higher than oil price … volatility) can have adverse effects on real output, through excessively high and persistent levels of inflation. Lack of … appropriate institutions and policy mechanisms which act as shock absorbers in the face of high levels of oil revenue volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009707616