Narrow search
Showing 1 - 10 of 1,709
Cover Image
Is market fear persistent? : a long-memory analysis
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; … - 2017
This paper investigates the degree of persistence of market fear. Specifically, two different long-memory approaches (R/S analysis with the Hurst exponent method and fractional integration) are used to analyse persistence of the VIX index over the sample period 2004-2016, as well as some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011669019
Cover Image
Evaluation of long-dated investments under uncertain growth trend, volatility and catastrophes
Gollier, Christian - 2012
probability of macroeconomic catastrophes à la Barro (2006), and to the case of an uncertain trend or volatility of growth à la …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009689360
Cover Image
Asset returns, the business cycle, and the labor market : a sensitivity analysis for the German economy
Heer, Burkhard; Maußner, Alfred - 2011
We review the labor market implications of recent real-business-cycle models that successfully replicate the empirical equity premium. We document the fact that all models considered in this survey with the exception of Boldrin, Christiano, and Fisher (2001) imply a negative correlation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009011127
Cover Image
Systematic consumption risk in currency returns
Hoffmann, Mathias; Suter, Rahel - 2013
We sort currencies by countries' consumption growth over the past four quarters. Currency portfolios of countries experiencing consumption booms have higher Sharpe ratios than those of countries going through a consumption-based recession. A carry strategy that goes short in countries that are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009752999
Cover Image
Cyclical asset returns in the consumption and investment goods sector
Heer, Burkhard; Maussner, Alfred; Süssmuth, Bernd - 2013
We document the empirical fact that asset prices in the consumption-goods and investment-goods sector behave almost identically in the US economy. In order to derive the cyclical behavior of the equity returns in these two sectors, we consider a standard two-sector real-business cycle model with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009786095
Cover Image
Macroeconomic expectations and state-dependent factor returns
Haase, Felix; Neuenkirch, Matthias - 2023
We examine the asymmetric impact of shocks to macroeconomic expectations and their underlying dispersion on equity risk premia across different market regimes. First, we rely on a two-state logit mixture vector autoregressive model and use Consensus Economics survey data on GDP growth,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014388605
Cover Image
Carbon default swap : disentangling the exposure to carbon risk through CDS
Blasberg, Alexander; Kiesel, Rüdiger; Taschini, Luca - 2022
Using Credit Default Swap spreads, we construct a forward-looking, market-implied carbon risk factor and show that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013417581
Cover Image
Treasury auctions and secondary market dynamics : an analysis based on the MTS market for Italy
Cafiso, Gianluca - 2015
Auctions of government bonds are the main allotment method used by the Treasury of advanced economies. Previous research has found that auctions have an influence on the market yield days before they take place, and underpricing is usually spotted when their outcome is compared with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010519950
Cover Image
Connectedness between the crude oil futures and equity markets during the pre- and post-financialisation eras
Wadud, Sania; Durand, Robert B.; Gronwald, Marc - 2021
volatility, namely, seasonality and maturity effects for the pre-financialisation (1993-2003) and post-financialisation (2004 … futures' volatility before the financialisation period, open interest as a measure of liquidity has a negative effect after ….e. volatility of the contract increases as it nears to expiration since financialisation. This confirms the importance of accounting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012599014
Cover Image
Expectation dispersion, uncertainty, and the reaction to news
Born, Benjamin; Dovern, Jonas; Enders, Zeno - 2020
Releases of key macroeconomic indicators are closely watched by financial markets. We investigate the role of expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of the financial market response to news decreases with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404549