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The frequency of one-day abnormal returns and price fluctuations in the FOREX
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Plastun, Alex; Oliinyk, Viktor - 2020
This paper analyses the explanatory power of the frequency of abnormal returns in the FOREX for the EURUSD, GBRUSD, USDJPY, EURJPY, GBPCHF, AUDUSD and USDCAD exchange rates over the period 1994-2019. Abnormal returns are detected using a dynamic trigger approach; then the following hypotheses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012196296
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When carry goes bad : the magnitude, causes, and duration of currency carry unwinds
Melvin, Michael; Shand, Duncan - 2016
We analyze the worst currency carry loss episodes in recent decades, including causes, attribution by currency, timing, and the duration of carry drawdowns. To explore the determinants of the length of carry losses, a model of carry drawdown duration is estimated. We find evidence that drawdown...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011568722
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The crisis in the foreign exchange market
Melvin, Michael; Taylor, Mark P. - 2009
implications for exchange rates, volatility, returns to currency investing, and transaction costs. This blow-by-blowʺ narrative is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003861767
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Intraday effect of news on emerging European forex markets : an event study analysis
Kočenda, Evžen; Moravcová, Michala - 2018
We analyze the impact of Eurozone/Germany and U.S. macroeconomic news announcements and the communication of the monetary policy settings of the ECB and the Fed on the forex markets of new EU members. We employ an event study methodology to analyze intra-day data from 2011-2015. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011902959
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Retaining alpha : the effect of trade size and rebalancing frequency on FX strategy returns
Melvin, Michael; Pan, Wenqiang; Wikstrom, Petra - 2020
The literature on currency investing that incorporates transaction costs uses costs relevant for small trade sizes. Using the entire order book of the major electronic brokerages for FX, we compute sweep-to-fill costs for trades of different sizes and illustrate the reduction in post-cost...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012174753
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Volatility connectedness on the Central European forex markets
Albrecht, Peter; Kočenda, Evžen - 2023
We provide a comprehensive assessment of volatility connectedness between the currencies of Central European (CE … currencies before) and document domination of the negative volatility, especially during periods of economic distress. We further … robust with respect to a volatility measure and provide direct policy implications for portfolio composition and hedging. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014414188
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Systematic consumption risk in currency returns
Hoffmann, Mathias; Suter, Rahel - 2013
We sort currencies by countries' consumption growth over the past four quarters. Currency portfolios of countries experiencing consumption booms have higher Sharpe ratios than those of countries going through a consumption-based recession. A carry strategy that goes short in countries that are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009752999
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Can time-varying currency risk hedging explain exchange rates?
Bräuer, Leonie; Hau, Harald - 2022
Over the last decade foreign bond portfolio positions in US dollar assets have risen above the reciprocal US investor positions in foreign currencies. In periods of increased economic uncertainty, institutional investors hedge their international bond positions, which creates a net hedging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013440410
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Total, asymmetric and frequency connectedness between oil and forex markets
Baruník, Jozef; Kočenda, Evžen - 2019
that divergence in monetary policy regimes affects forex volatility spillovers but that adding oil to a forex portfolio … shocks dominate forex volatility connectedness, positive shocks prevail when oil and forex markets are assessed jointly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012035050
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Bank of England interest rate announcements and the foreign exchange market
Melvin, Michael; Saborowski, Christian; Sager, Michael; … - 2009
. Daily data reveal significant differences in volatility on the last of three meeting days when the interest rate … macroeconomic news effects on the foreign exchange market. We find evidence for non-linear regime switching between a high-volatility …, informed-trading state and a low-volatility, liquidity-trading state. MPC surprise announcements are shown significantly to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831967