This paper estimates a bivariate HEAVY system including daily and intra-daily volatility equations and its macro …-augmented asymmetric power extension. It focuses on economic factors that exacerbate stock market volatility and represent major threats to … commodity markets on stock market realized volatility. Specifically, Economic Policy Uncertainty is shown to be one of the main …

This paper proposes an explanation of the shifts in the volatility of exchange rate returns that relies on standard … may lead agents to focus excessively on a subset of fundamental variables. As a result, exchange rate volatility is mainly … determined by the dynamics of this subset of fundamentals. As agents switch between models the nominal exchange rate volatility …

has roots in fundamentals. Higher market risk predicts greater idiosyncratic earnings volatility as well as dispersion and …From 1963 through 2015, idiosyncratic risk (IR) is high when market risk (MR) is high. We show that the positive …

exert a large and persistent effect on the volatility of stock returns of acquirers and that this response is crucially … - engender a positive response in acquirers' volatility. Our results suggest that acquisitions affect uncertainty because they …

We study business uncertainty in high- versus low-volatility environments by surveying over 31,000 managers across 41 … their mean absolute deviations. Analogously, we measure realized volatility using absolute forecast errors. We establish two … new facts. (1) Subjective uncertainty and realized volatility both decline with GDP per capita. (2) Managers underestimate …

We explore the impact of mortgage securitization on the international diversification of macroeconomic risk. By making … risk sharing: we find that countries with the most highly developed markets for securitized mortgage debt have consumption … risk sharing in tranquil times but that it actually fails to provide international insurance in severe crisis periods …

We investigate the trade-off between the risk-sharing gains enjoyed by more interconnected firms and the costs … resulting from an increased risk exposure. We find that when the shock distribution displays "fat" tails, extreme segmentation …

degree of pessimism of the representative agent is the mean of the individual ones weighted by their index of absolute risk …

The risk of recurrent outbreaks following the main waves of a pandemic has been acknowledged. We provide evidence of … the scale and duration of this outbreak risk. We compile municipal public health records and use national data to model … eight major UK cities, we find elevated mortality risk that persists for nearly two decades. The generality of the findings …