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Have macroeconomic models lost their connection with economic reality?

Veen, Tom van - 2020

Macroeconomic theory has developed into increasingly sophisticated mathematical models. In the words of Mankiw … the development of macroeconomic theory over the past 40 years. The focus is on the main lines of thinking and the story … changes in macroeconomic theory and that the current debates after the GFC will be the start of a more plural approach to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012211109

Expectations and speculation in the natural gas markets

Anderl, Christina; Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2024

consistently with the theory of storage (Kilian and Murphy, 2014), the futures spread (Valenti, 2022), and functional shocks …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015065319

Bubbles in hybrid markets : how expectations about algorithmic trading affect human trading

Farjam, Mike; Kirchkamp, Oliver - 2015

Bubbles are omnipresent in lab experiments with asset markets. Most of these experiments were conducted in environments with only human traders. Today markets are substantially determined by algorithmic traders. Here we use a laboratory experiment to measure changes of human trading behavior if...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011392621

Bubbles and collateral

Awaya, Yu; Do, Jihwan; Watanabe, Makoto - 2025

We construct a model of bubbles where an asset can be used as collateral primarily due to higher-order uncertainty: while both a lender and a borrower know that the intrinsic value of the asset is low, they may still believe that a “greater fool” exists who will purchase it at a much higher...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015404489

Seven pitfalls of technical analysis

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Plastun, Alex - 2023

This paper examines the main drawbacks of technical analysis. Although this is widely used by practitioners, from an academic perspective it can only be seen as a form of "voodoo finance". In particular, it runs into the following pitfalls: Subjectivity; Doubtful assumptions; Unjustified...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013489574

J'Accuse! Antisemitism and financial markets in the time of the Dreyfus Affair

Do, Quoc-Anh; Galbiati, Roberto; Marx, Benjamin M.; … - 2023

We study the stock market performance of firms with Jewish board members during the "Dreyfus Affair" in 19th century France. In a context of widespread latent antisemitism, initial accusations made against the Jewish officer Alfred Dreyfus led to short-lived abnormal negative returns for...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014426598

Imperfect financial markets as a commitment device for the government

Simon, Jenny - 2014

When the government lacks the ability to commit to a tax policy over time, agents' involvement in imperfect financial markets can be welfare improving. Agents borrow against their promised income in markets that are incomplete in the sense that claims cannot be resold without loss. Taking these...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010383198

Asymmetric connectedness on the US stock market : bad and good volatility spillovers

Baruník, Jozef; Kočenda, Evžen; Vácha, Lukáš - 2015

This paper suggests how to quantify asymmetries in volatility spillovers that emerge due to bad and good volatility. Using data covering most liquid U.S. stocks in seven sectors, we provide ample evidence of the asymmetric connectedness of stocks at the disaggregate level. Moreover, the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010509638

The impact of financial (de-)regulation on current account balances

Moral-Benito, Enrique; Röhn, Oliver - 2014

Both global imbalances and financial market (de-)regulation feature prominently among the potential causes of the global financial crisis, but they have been largely discussed separately. In this paper, we take a different angle and investigate the relationship between financial market...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010436581

The existence of informationally efficient markets when individuals are rational

Muendler, Marc-Andreas - 2004

A rational-expectations equilibrium with positive demand for financial information does exist under fully revealing asset price - contrary to a wide-held conjecture. Generalizing the common additive signal-return model with CARA utility to the family of distributions with moment generating...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451345