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experiment of the past decade, stemming from a belief of the government that higher interest rates cause higher inflation … eventually a negative coefficient on inflation in the policy rule. In such an environment, was the exchange rate still a random … walk? Was inflation anchored? Does the "standard model" suffice to explain the broad contours of macroeconomic outcomes in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013201664
costs across product groups. We show that, after the referendum, inflation increased by more for product groups with higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157863
This paper investigates whether exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) into import prices is a nonlinear phenomenon for five heavily indebted Euro area countries, namely the so-called GIIPS group (Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal, and Spain). Using logistic smooth transition models, we explore the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346864
This paper studies exchange rate pass-through to food and energy consumer price inflation and its dependence on the … inflation environment using cross-country panel estimation of Phillips curves. It considers a large panel of OECD member and … inflation and also significant for food CPI inflation. A 10% depreciation in the exchange rate leads to an increase in energy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013473669
We develop a simple model that highlights the costs and benefits of fixed exchange rates as they relate to trade, and show that negative export-price shocks reduce fiscal revenue and increase the likelihood of an expected currency devaluation. Using a new high-frequency data set on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011568741
the shift towards reduced inflation regimes in our sample of countries. Finally, we notice that the distinction between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010518820
Using detailed firm-level transactions data for UK imports, we find that invoicing in a vehicle currency is pervasive, with more than half of transactions in our sample invoiced in neither sterling nor the exporter's currency. We then study the relationship between invoicing currency choices and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012029070
Is inflation (still) a global phenomenon? We study the international co-movement of inflation based on a dynamic factor … explains approximately 58% of the variation in headline inflation across all countries and over 72% in OECD economies. The … explanatory power of global inflation is equally high in a shorter sample spanning the time since 2000. Core inflation is also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014551069
This paper proposes an explanation of the shifts in the volatility of exchange rate returns that relies on standard present value exchange rate models. Agents are uncertain about the true data generating model and deal with the model uncertainty by making inference on the models and their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003937806
Assessing exchange rate misalignment is not an easy task. With reference to the debate on the value of China's currency, the renminbi (RMB), this article highlights a few challenges in properly assessing the extent of currency misalignment. The results derived from the fundamental equilibrium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009533965