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The cross-section of firms over the business cycle : new facts and a DSGE exploration
Bachmann, Ruediger; Bayer, Christian - 2009
Using a German firm-level data set, this paper is the first to jointly study the cyclical properties of the cross-sections of firm-level real value added and Solow residual innovations, as well as capital and employment adjustment. We find two new business cycle facts: 1) The cross-sectional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003888063
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Firm-specific productivity risk over the business cycle : facts and aggregate implications
Bachmann, Ruediger; Bayer, Christian - 2009
Is time-varying firm-level uncertainty a major cause or amplifier of the business cycle? This paper investigates this question in the context of a heterogeneous-firm RBC model with persistent firm-level productivity shocks and lumpy capital adjustment, where cyclical changes in uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003898815
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What drives aggregate investment?
Bachmann, Ruediger; Zorn, Peter - 2013 - This Version: April 13, 2013
Using firm-level survey data for the West German manufacturing sector, this paper revisits the technology-driven business cycle hypothesis for the case of aggregate investment. We construct a survey-based measure of technology shocks to gauge their contribution to short-run investment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009736762
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The effect of news shocks and monetary policy
Gambetti, Luca; Görtz, Christoph; Korobilis, Dimitris; … - 2019
A VAR model estimated on U.S. data before and after 1980 documents systematic differences in the response of short- and long-term interest rates, corporate bond spreads and durable spending to news TFP shocks. Interest rates across the maturity spectrum broadly increase in the pre-1980s and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011990092
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What are the effects of tax changes in the United Kingdom? : new evidence from a narrative evaluation
Cloyne, James - 2011
This paper estimates the effects of tax changes on the U.K. economy. Identification is achieved by isolating the "exogenous" tax policy shocks in the post-war U.K. economy using a narrative strategy as in Romer and Romer (2010). The resulting tax changes are shown to be unforecastable on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009124174
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The changing macroeconomic response to stock market volatility shocks
Beetsma, Roel; Giuliodori, Massimo - 2011 - This version: 14 November 2011
activity. However, using U.S. data since 1950 we show that the macroeconomic response pattern to stock market volatility shocks … decomposition for consumption growth shows that the contribution of stock market volatility becomes negligible as we go from earlier … of stock market volatility. -- Dow Jones index ; stock market volatility shocks ; economic growth ; consumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009380407
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Uncertainty and monetary policy in good and bad times : a replication of the VAR investigation by Bloom (2009)
Caggiano, Giovanni; Castelnuovo, Efrem; Nodari, Gabriela - 2020
This paper revisits the well-known VAR evidence on the real effects of uncertainty shocks by Bloom (Econometrica 2009(3): 623-685. doi: 10.3982/ECTA6248). We replicate the results in a narrow sense using Eviews. In a wide sense, we extend his study by working with a smooth transition-VAR...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012263375
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Uncertainty and monetary policy in good and bad times
Caggiano, Giovanni; Castelnuovo, Efrem; Nodari, Gabriela - 2017
financial volatility. Uncertainty shocks hitting in recessions are found to trigger a more abrupt drop and a faster recovery in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011718461
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Revisiting the matching function
Kohlbrecher, Britta; Merkl, Christian; Nordmeier, Daniela - 2016
There is strong empirical evidence for Cobb-Douglas matching functions. We show in this paper that this widely found relation between matches on the one hand and unemployment and vacancies on the other hand can be the result of different underlying mechanisms. Obviously, it can be generated by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011482505
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Local information and firm expectations about aggregates
Dovern, Jonas; Müller, Lena; Wohlrabe, Klaus - 2022
Using new survey data on quantitative growth expectations of firms in Germany, we show that firms resort to local information when forming expectations about aggregate growth. Firms extrapolate from the economic situation in their county, industry growth and their individual business situation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013285506