Showing 1 - 10 of 247
This paper is concerned with problem of variable selection and forecasting in the presence of parameter instability. There are a number of approaches proposed for forecasting in the presence of breaks, including the use of rolling windows or exponential down-weighting. However, these studies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012258549
This paper deals with the economics of Bitcoins in two ways. First, it broadens the discussion on how to capture Bitcoins using economic terms. Center stage in this analysis take the discussion of some unique characteristics of this market as well as the comparison of Bitcoins and gold. Second,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010464707
This paper deals with cryptocurrency bubbles. First, it points out that a number of recent papers on cryptocurrency bubbles are awed due to an insufficient consideration of the fundamental value of cryptocurrencies. As even fiat money is said to exhibit features of bubbles, the same applies to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012033146
This paper analyses the stochastic properties of UK nominal and real wages over the period 1750-2015 using fractional integration techniques. Both the original series and logged ones are analysed. The results generally suggest that nominal wages exhibit a higher degree of persistence, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013417630
This paper finds that global temperature anomalies are characterised by (temporary) explosiveness, a statistical feature typically found in financial and commodity market data during episodes of extreme price increases. This finding dramatically illustrates the extent temperature changes have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014382935
The 'saving for a rainy day' hypothesis implies that households' saving decisions reflect that they can (rationally) predict future income declines. The empirical relevance of this hypothesis plays a key role in discussions of fiscal policy multipliers and it holds under the null that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010518800
operandi to analyze the time series characteristics of interest rates and to test for common features. We conduct cointegration … ; comovement ; cointegration ; serial correlation common feature ; codependence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003807777
July 2010. The empirical findings indicate that the stochastic properties of the two series are such that cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008697849
In this paper we use fractional integration techniques to examine the degree of integration of four US stock market indices, namely the Standard and Poor, Dow Jones, Nasdaq and NYSE, at a daily frequency from January 2005 till December 2009. We analyse the weekly structure of the series and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008732289
debt and its ratio to GDP. Second, exploiting unit root analysis and cointegration, we test for the sustainability of … budget constraint ; unit roots ; cointegration ; fiscal sustainability ; economic history …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009535101