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We estimate a three-region (DE-REA-RoW) structural macroeconomic model, and we provide a counterfactual on how nominal exchange rate flexibility would have affected the German trade balance (TB) by simulating the shocks of the estimated model under a counterfactual flexible exchange rate regime....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011983671
Poland is obligated to adopt the euro after the fulfilment, inter alia, of the exchange rate criterion which requires … estimate real Polish zloty/euro equilibrium rate. Although the main goal of our analysis is to compute measures of current and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003813605
econometrically estimated in continuous time with Euro/Dollar data and examined for the possible presence of chaotic motion. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009011774
The ultimate object of research concerning the Euro is to answer the following questions: (#1) What is the equilibrium … trajectory of the nominal euro, measured as dollars/euro? (#2) To what extent has the equilibrium nominal euro been determined by … transitory factors in affecting the value of the euro? (#4) Is the euro currently undervalued, and by what criteria? Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011399350
This paper studies the reaction of the mean and volatility of the euro-dollar exchange rate to statements of ECB … officials during the first years of EMU. We focus on statements on monetary policy and the (potential) strength of the euro. We …. In some cases there are effects of statements on the level of the euro-dollar rate. Efforts to talk up the euro have not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507830
conducted. - Fiscal policy in the euro area was tight in 2012-13, contributing to an unexpected fall in the GDP. Fiscal policy … has generally amplified cycles in the euro area, except in 2009. - Procyclicality is caused by short-sighted fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011922165
euro as their currency and recent research has shown that countries currently pursuing this goal indeed fulfill the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012506932
The euro area will not have a centralised budget and smoothing of country-specific asymmetric shocks via private …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011444463
is described using a stochastic regime-switching model; second, the euro area governments’ responses to uncertain … macroeconomic policies in Greece are considered. The model's mechanism and assumptions allow either for a Grexit from the euro area … understand key drivers of the long-winded negotiations between the Syiza government and the euro area governments. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011406792
In this paper, sound public finances under the euro means sustainability in the long term instead of short- and medium …-term fiscal discipline. The challenges to sustainability are identified for the four largest euro area member states, and several … resort for a euro area government under liquidity shortage to prevent it from developing into a general financial crisis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012238506