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We use two approaches to examine the macroeconomic consequences of disruptions in global food commodity markets. First …) in a standard vector autoregression (VAR) model, and we estimate the dynamic effects of global food commodity supply … shocks on the US economy. As an alternative, we also estimate the consequences of thirteen narratively identified global food …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011565633
the importing country. We examine how the risk of rejection at European borders is affecting Chinese agri-food exporters …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011447532
This paper studies the relationship between export policy and food prices. We show that, when individuals are loss … averse, food exporters may use trade policy to shield the domestic economy from large price shocks. This creates a … complementarity between the price of food in international markets and export policy. Specifically, unilateral actions by exporting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009522310
Biotic factors such as pests create biodiversity effects that increase production risks and decrease land productivity when agriculture becomes more specialized. We show in a Ricardian two-country trade setup that production specialization is incomplete under free trade because of the decrease...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011286489
In a two-country reciprocal dumping model, with one country unionized, we analyze how wage setting and firm location are influenced by trade liberalization. We show that trade liberalization can induce FDI, which is at odds with conventional theoretical wisdom and cannot happen in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011541138
The European Union fulfills its emissions reductions commitments by means of an emissions trading scheme covering some part of each member state's economy and by national emissions control in the rest of their economies. The member states also levy energy/emissions taxes overlapping with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003817954
We examine how globalization affects trade patterns and welfare when conflict prevails domestically. We do so in a simple model of trade, in which a natural resource like oil is contested by competing groups using real resources (ʺgunsʺ). Thus, conflict is viewed as ultimately stemming from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003113296
We estimate the short-run trade effects of natural disasters using monthly trade data and data on the physical intensity of earthquakes and storms. We find large negative effects for heavily indebted poor, least developed or landlocked developing countries but only small effects for other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012392193
reality check drawing upon the World Banks Exporter Dynamics Database (EDD) which has firm-level exports from 50 developing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011983639
We study the capacity to meet food demand under conditions of climate change, economic and population growth. We take a … sector, endogenous fertility, directed technical change and fossil/renewable energy. We estimate the world economy is more … than one trillion dollars smaller, and world population more than 80 million smaller, than would have been the case without …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012138747