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citizens. I find that, under certain conditions, there exists a unique Markov perfect equilibrium in which there are no coups …, there is another Markov perfect equilibrium in which there are no coups, the citizens always revolt, but the military does …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010347032
We provide quantitative evidence on the relationship between military spending and innovation in the 19th century. Combining innovation data from world fairs and historical military data across Europe, we show that national military spending is associated with national innovation towards war...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014249922
. -- Arab Spring ; political transitions ; repression ; civil conflict ; oil ; divided societies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009684064
We empirically investigate the existence of spatial autocorrelation between military dictatorships in Sub-Saharan Africa from 1977 through 2007. We apply a Bayesian SAR probit regression, extended to a pooled model. We find a robust and positive spatial autocorrelation coefficient, which shows a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010354777
Ramey (2011a) and others argue that increases in government spending associated with wars and military build-ups constitute a good instrument for measuring the macroeconomic effects of fiscal shocks. We argue that this instrument has two important drawbacks: the composition of government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010256126
We develop a dynamic model in which a group collectively bargains with an external party. At each date the group makes an offer to the external party (the 'agent') in exchange for a concession. Group members hold heterogeneous preferences over agreements and are uncertain about the agent's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014444047
This chapter discusses the role of military interventionism and aid in nation-building. We argue that (1) intervention strategies of foreign actors like the United States often unfavorably interact with local institutional settings, which (2) produces undesired outcomes not only for the target...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013380559
This study examines how the quality of political institutions affects the distribution of the government budget in Iran. We first introduce a mechanism through which democracy can shift government expenditure from national defense (military) to productivity-enhancing public spending (e.g.,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011342383
We use the synthetic control method to estimate the effect of international banking and energy sanctions from 2012 to 2015 on military spending of Iran. We create a synthetic control group that mimics the socioeconomic characteristics of Iran before the international sanctions of 2012. We then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012123033
We examine whether government ideology was correlated with the growth in military expenditure in Germany over the period 1951-2011. By using various measures of government ideology, the results do not show any effect. The exception is an ideology measure based on the Comparative Manifesto...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010515371