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Betting the house
Jordà, Òscar; Schularick, Moritz; Taylor, Alan M. - 2014
Is there a link between loose monetary conditions, credit growth, house price booms, and financial instability? This paper analyzes the role of interest rates and credit in driving house price booms and busts with data spanning 140 years of modern economic history in the advanced economies. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010468583
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Big G
Cox, Lydia; Müller, Gernot J.; Pasten, Ernesto; … - 2020
impact inflation, little crowding out of private expenditure exists, and the multiplier tends to be larger compared to a one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012206057
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Nonlinear business cycle and optimal policy : a VSTAR perspective
Polito, Vito - 2020
This paper studies optimal macroeconomic policy when nonlinearity in the business cycle is described by a vector smooth transition autoregression (VSTAR). A structural identification of the VSTAR that yields a low-dimension and certainty-equivalent nonlinear quadratic regulator (NLQR) problem is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154304
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The euro area government spending multiplier in demand- and supply-driven recessions
Di Serio, Mario; Fragetta, Matteo; Gasteiger, Emanuel; … - 2022
inflation from its trend, implying that the more demand-driven a recession, the higher the multiplier. Median multipliers range …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013174156
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What do we know about the macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy? : a brief survey of the literature on fiscal multipliers
Castelnuovo, Efrem; Lim, Guay C. - 2018
This article reviews recent research findings on the effects of fiscal multipliers in normal times, during booms/busts, and in the presence of the zero lower bound. Studies on the effects of fiscal policy in open economy settings as well as contributions on the fiscal-monetary policy mix are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011933907
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Fiscal multipliers and the choice of zero lower bound modeling
Siemsen, Thomas; Watzka, Sebastian - 2013
multiplier. To this end we contrast two different ways to implement the ZLB in a New Keynesian model: the ZLB modeled as an … multiplier are not only due to differences in the timing assumption of government spending but also driven by the choice of the … ZLB modeling. Ceteris paribus, the impact multiplier is higher if the ZLB is modeled appropriately as a constraint. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009772911
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Forward guidance in a simple model with a zero lower bound
Illing, Gerhard; Siemsen, Thomas - 2014 - First Version: December 2013
In this paper we present a three period setup to model central bank forward guidance in a liquidity trap. We analyze the role of long-run and short-run price stickiness under discretion and commitment in a straightforward and intuitive way. Despite the impact of price rigidity on welfare being...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010257354
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Monetary policy interactions : the policy rate, asset purchases, and optimal policy with an interest rate Peg
Gödl-Hanisch, Isabel; Mau, Ronald; Rawls, Jonathan - 2023
We study monetary policy in a New Keynesian model with a variable credit spread and scope for central bank asset purchases to matter. A novel financial and labor market interaction generates an endogenous cost-push channel in the Phillips curve and a credit wedge in the IS curve. The "divine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014252576
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Inequality and the zero lower bound
Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús; Marbet, Joël; Nuño, Galo; … - 2023
This paper studies how household inequality shapes the effects of the zero lower bound (ZLB) on nominal interest rates on aggregate dynamics. To do so, we consider a heterogeneous agent New Keynesian (HANK) model with an occasionally binding ZLB and solve for its fully nonlinear stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014288300
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Redistribution and the monetary-fiscal policy mix
Bhattarai, Saroj; Lee, Jae Won; Yang, Choongryul - 2020
We show that the effectiveness of redistribution policy in stimulating the economy and improving welfare is directly tied to how much inflation it generates, which in turn hinges on monetary-fiscal adjustments that ultimately finance the transfers. We compare two distinct types of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012388237