Showing 1 - 10 of 391
We show that the stock market price reaction to monetary policy surprises upon announcements of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is explained mostly by changes in the default-free term structure of yields, not by changes in the equity premium. We reach this conclusion based on a new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015052545
*t substantially increases the accuracy of long-range interest rate forecasts, helps predict excess bond returns, improves estimates of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011688099
This paper analyses persistence and non-linearities in quarterly and monthly US Treasury 10-year bond yields over the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012813850
Were government bond risk premia affected by the media in addition to the effects of major events? Revisiting the … European debt crisis, we analyze the role of television news in the rise and re-convergence of GIIPS bond spreads vis … stability and “international financial support” to distressed countries in reducing bond spreads. Moreover, weekend news enables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486807
bond and equity premia. We then build a model of bank portfolio choice where the creation of synthetic securities may occur …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010479921
Asset prices are a valuable source of information about financial market participants.expectations about key macroeconomic variables. However, the presence of time-varying risk premia requires an adjustment of market prices to obtain the market’s rational assessment of future price and policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012622575
structure can help predict interest rates and excess bond returns. We demonstrate that the statistical tests that have been used … slope of the yield curve are robust predictors of excess bond returns, and there is no robust and convincing evidence for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346306
Restrictions on the risk-pricing in dynamic term structure models (DTSMs) can unleash the power of no-arbitrage by creating a tighter link between cross-sectional and time-series variation of interest rates. This paper presents a new econometric framework for estimation of affine Gaussian DTSMs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010491726
How should one evaluate investment projects whose CCAPM betas are uncertain? This question is particularly crucial for projects yielding long-lasting impacts on the economy, as is the case for example for many green investments. We define the notion of a certainty equivalent beta. We show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009691703
development of bond yields and spreads around these releases. More precisely, we try to estimate different asset price channels by … signalling channel, measured by the OIS rate, and the portfolio rebalancing channel, proxied by the conditional bond-OIS spread …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011743065