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Since a series of crisis events after 2007, the discussion about the adjustment channels of current account imbalances has been revived. We discuss the effectiveness of exchange rates versus macroeconomic policies to rebalance current accounts for a set of 86 mainly emerging market economies. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010431297
potentially subsidized capital allocation in China the real yuan/dollar rate is undervalued. This has caused - both in China and …-American policy coordination to escape from the policy dilemma, which continues to drive global imbalances. -- China ; exchange rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009127709
This paper investigates the effects of equity and bond portfolio in.ows on exchange rate volatility, using monthly bilateral data for the US vis-a-vis eight Asian developing and emerging countries (India, Indonesia, South Korea, Pakistan, Hong Kong, Thailand, the Philippines, and Taiwan) over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011387464
We analyze current account imbalances through the lens of the two largest surplus countries; China and Germany. We … observe two striking patterns visible since the 2007/8 Global Financial Crisis. First, while China has been gradually reducing … these two countries, there is a remarkable reversal in the patterns of exchange rate misalignment: China’s currency has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012024585
In this paper we characterize empirically the comovements of macro variables typically observed in middle income countries, as well as the boom-bust cycle that has been observed during the last two decades. We find that many countries that have liberalized their financial markets, have witnessed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410453
China has been provoked into speeding renminbi internationalization. But despite rapid growth in offshore financial … could attract even more hot money inflows, the People's Bank of China should focus on tightly stabilizing the yuan/ dollar … exchange rate to encourage naturally high wage increases for balancing China's international competitiveness. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010249643
. Based on an overinvestment framework, we show that in the prevailing asymmetric world monetary system, monetary policies of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010337620
We use the Kalman filter to estimate the structure of the secret currency basket of the renminbi based on daily data between 2005 and 2009. The currency weights of selected currencies are modeled as stochastic processes (random walks). The official announcement of the new exchange rate regime in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003997605
constitute long-term appreciation expectations on yuan and yen, which have made China and Japan vulnerable to U.S. interest rate … cuts and appreciation expectation shocks. For both China and Japan - at different points of time - self-fulfilling runs …, speculative bubbles and post-bubble secular stagnation. To prevent a similar scenario for China capital controls, a tighter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011475972
This paper investigates the cyclicality of international reserves and their role in macroeconomic stabilization. We challenge two widely held assumptions: (1) central banks typically manage IR counter-cyclically—accumulating reserves during booms and drawing them down during downturns; and (2)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015371901