the period 1972:1-2014:12 to forecasts our tail risk indicators with each model in pseudo-real time. Our key finding is …

We measure the economic risk of epidemics at a geo-spatially detailed resolution. In addition to data about the …’s resilience (its ability of the recover rapidly from the shock). We find that the economic risk of epidemics is particularly high …

We examine how the tail risk of currency returns over the past 20 years were impacted by central bank (monetary and … effects last for up to 1 month, and are proportionally higher for joint QE actions. This cross-border source of tail risk is …

We introduce a new hybrid approach to joint estimation of Value at Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) for high … EV models, especially in the developed markets. -- value at risk ; expected shortfall ; hybrid historical simulation … ; extreme value theory ; bootstrapping …

In accordance with Basel Capital Accords, the Capital Requirements (CR) for market risk exposure of banks is a … nonlinear function of Value-at-Risk (VaR). Importantly, the CR is calculated based on a bank’s actual portfolio, i.e. the …

In this study, we compare the out-of-sample forecasting performance of several modern Value-at- Risk (VaR) estimators … derived from extreme value theory (EVT). Specifically, in a multi-asset study covering 30 years of stock, bond, commodity and …

This article studies the effects of tax competition on the provision of public goods under business risk and partial …

potentially loss averse around their expected outcome make risky investments in education and we draw on optimal tax theory to … explore the design of policy. The model highlights the critical roles played by (i) the relationship between behavioural risk … preferences, standard risk aversion and labour supply behaviour, (ii) the risk properties of education, and (iii) the degree of …

) we vary three payoff indices. Indices of risk and temptation capture the unilateral incentives to defect against … reduces cooperation. In neither study, nor in either subject pool of our second study, do we find a significant effect of risk. …

the literature on wage effects we add a breakdown of variances in heterogeneity and risk. …