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reliability of output gap estimation methods and their use for calculating structural budget balances. In this paper we review the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012438332
We assess the drivers of fiscal sustainability in 20 OECD economies between 1950 and 2019. We find stable long-term relationships between government revenues and expenditures as well as between the primary budget balance and past public debt ratio for the full panel. Performing an expanding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014543858
examining cantonal aggregated and disaggregated local data. A Difference-in-Differences estimation (two-way fixed effects …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010424734
Switzerland’s unexpected and substantial interest rate drop in 2015 following the termination of the Swiss Franc-Euro peg. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015070087
Rather than stabilising aggregate demand, discretionary fiscal policy tends to amplify cyclical fluctuations of output. The commonly accepted reasons are political economy and uncertainty. In the EU, the pro-cyclical nature of discretionary fiscal policy has also been associated with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012306605
We examine the sustainability of public finances and its determinants for 19 Eurozone countries from 1995 to 2020. We conclude for the existence of panel cointegration between government revenues and expenditures; primary government balance and one-period lagged public debt-to-GDP ratio; and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013162289
In this paper, we extend Henning Bohn's (2008) fiscal sustainability test by allowing for slope heterogeneity and cross-sectional dependence (CD). In particular, our econometric approach is the first that allows fiscal reaction functions (FRF) to capture unobserved heterogeneous effects from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011822075
We assess the drivers of fiscal sustainability in Portugal during the period 1999Q4-2021Q4. We resort to expanding window and Schlicht (2003, 2021)'s time-varying approaches to construct the responses of government revenues to government expenditures and the responses of the primary government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014391313
This study aims to scrutinize the change of public revenue systems of the EU-15 between 1980 and 2016. The share of consumption taxes in total tax revenues increases and this process have triggered higher tax burden on labor in most of the EU countries via indirect taxation. In this study I use...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012312272
As with the market for goods and services, democratic competition involves political parties offering their services (policy programs) to citizen-consumers who vote for their preferred partisan supplier. Little is known about the partial effect of a shift in parties' seat shares for given voter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009707614