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the state of the economy and the policy outlook, but only every second decision by a published interest rate forecast. We … announcements that include an interest rate forecast lead to very similar market reactions across the yield curve as announcements …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011926064
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003377200
This paper examines the role of central bank governors in monetary policy decisions taken by a committee. To carry out this analysis, we constructed a novel dataset of committee voting behaviour for six OECD countries for up to three decades. Using a range of Taylor-rule specifications, we show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012064411
with the slope factor. Slope predicts changes in future interest rates and forecast revisions of professional forecasters …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011566444
We employ two-stage empirical strategy to analyze the impact of macroeconomic news and central bank communication on the exchange rates of three Central and Eastern European (CEE) currencies against the euro. First we estimate the nominal equilibrium exchange rate based on a monetary model....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009764449
After the financial crisis of 2008, central banks around the world have increased their communication efforts to reach consumers, with the aim of both guiding and anchoring their inflation expectations. For the expectations channel of monetary policy to work as intended, central banks need a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014383922
This paper surveys the literature on the role and effects of central bank communication with the general public, particularly regarding the formation of macroeconomic expectations. It starts by giving a brief overview of the recent "communication revolution" in central bank communication. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014384011
This paper studies ECB and Bundesbank communication on monetary policy during the first years of the European Economic and Monetary Union. We study whether statements by different (groups of) central bankers have been contradictory and whether differences have diminished over time. We find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011450560
This paper reports the results of a survey among private sector economists about credibility and transparency of central banks. In line with the survey of Alan Blinder among central bankers, we asked participants in Ifo s World Economic Survey to answer questions on the importance and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011399168
There has been a remarkable rise in the transparency of monetary policy during the last two decades. This paper provides an overview of the ways in which central banks have been providing more information about their monetary policymaking. Furthermore, it reviews the theoretical literature on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010237274