Showing 1 - 10 of 1,683
When inflation picks up, central banks are most concerned that the de-anchoring of inflation expectations and the … ignition of wage-price spirals will trigger inflation dynamic instability. However, such scenarios do not materialize in the … updated according to the actual inflation process, with indexed wages, and persistent inflation shocks. In these cases, a more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014478734
We estimate perceptions about the Fed's monetary policy rule from panel data on professional forecasts of interest rates and macroeconomic conditions. The perceived dependence of the federal funds rate on economic conditions is time-varying and cyclical: high during tightening episodes but low...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013475251
recently adopted inflation targets. Some significant shifts in the conduct of monetary policy are detected in the G3 countries … begin to look consistent with an inflation-targeting regime. In addition, the introduction of inflation targeting and … inflation targets and central bank reforms. The paper challenges the one-size-fits-all attitude towards modern central bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781553
Consensus Economics survey data on GDP growth, inflation, and short-term interest rates to approximate macroeconomic … priced in the cross section and drive the size and value premium, whereas inflation expectations serve as robust predictors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014388605
economies, using dynamic cross-country panel estimation of New-Keynesian Phillips curves. We find that inflation expectations …We study the effects of professionals’ survey-based inflation expectations on inflation for a large number of 36 OECD … have a significantly positive effect on inflation. We also find that the effect of inflation expectations on inflation is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012697141
estate, as well as the costs of public goods to develop alternative inflation measures in Germany since the introduction of … the euro. Real economic growth as well as median wage developments are reexamined in light of the alternative inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012291889
In this paper, we explore the degree of anchoring of consumers' individual long-run inflation expectations utilizing …-run inflation expectations became more anchored over the last decades, as the degree of co-movement between short- and long … seems that older cohorts, who experienced the high inflation period of the 1970s, remain less anchored in their long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011846446
estimating a smooth transition regression model with different inflation expectations regimes for five inflation targeting …) respectively over the period January 1993-August 2021. Both market and survey measures of inflation expectations are used as the … expectations of both consumers and producers are considered instead of expectations from consumer surveys only. Finally, inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012806637
This paper investigates the predictive power of the shadow rate for the inflation rate in countries with a zero lower … parameters we compare the out-of-sample forecasting performance of an inflation model including a shadow rate interaction term … inflation rate are evaluated. The models including the shadow rate interaction term are found to outperform the benchmark ones …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013176885
Inflation targeting is implemented in different ways – most often by adopting point targets, by having tolerance bands … target types affect the anchoring of inflation expectations at shorter horizons differently. It tests two contradictory …. This suggests that there are some benefits to adopting intervals, but the central bank can anchor inflation expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012508768