Narrow search
Showing 1 - 10 of 407
Cover Image
Bootstrap panel Granger-causality between government budget and external deficits for the EU
Afonso, António; Rault, Christophe - 2009
We investigate the existence of Granger-causality between current account and government budget balances over the period 1970-2007, for different EU and OECD country groupings. We use the panel-data approach of Kónya (2006), which is based on SUR systems and Wald tests with country specific...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003818006
Cover Image
Fiscal consolidation and the current account : OECD evidence
Breuer, Christian; Nam, Chang-woon - 2020
We apply a "new" conventional (CAPB-based) measure of fiscal policy, which is less prone to endogeneity issues, and find that a 1-percent of GDP fiscal consolidation leads to the improvement of the current account-to-GDP ratio by approximately 0.8 percent of GDP, while previous research based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157972
Cover Image
Twin deficits through the looking glass : time-varying analysis in the euro area
Afonso, António; Coelho, José Carlos - 2022
Using two measures of the fiscal position, the cyclically adjusted primary budget balance (CAPB) and the total budget balance, we assess the Twin Deficit Hypothesis for the Euro Area in the period 1995-2020. Furthermore, we estimate time-varying coefficients of the current account balance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012813893
Cover Image
Stochastic optimal control, international finance and debt
Fleming, Wendell Helms; Stein, Jerome L. - 2002
We use stochastic optimal control-dynamic programming (DP) to derive the optimal foreign debt/net worth, consumption/net worth, current account/net worth, and endogenous growth rate in an open economy. Unlike the literature that uses an Intertemporal Budget Constraint (IBC) or the Maximum...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410314
Cover Image
From theory to policy with gravitas : a solution to the mystery of the excess trade balances
Felbermayr, Gabriel; Yotov, Yoto V. - 2019
Bilateral trade balances often play an important role in the international trade policy debate. Academic economists understand that they are misleading indicators of competitiveness and of the gains from trade. However, they also recognize their political relevance, calling for accurate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012064371
Cover Image
Budgetary and external imbalances relationship : a panel data diagnostic
Afonso, António; Rault, Christophe - 2009
We assess the cointegration relationship between current account and budget balances, and effective real exchange rates …, using recent bootstrap panel cointegration techniques and SUR methods. We investigate the magnitude of the relationship … panel cointegration tests used allow for within and between correlation, while the SUR results show both positive and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003808652
Cover Image
Fiscal divergence and current account imbalances in Europe
Schnabl, Gunther; Wollmershäuser, Timo - 2013
Since the breakdown of the Bretton Woods System diverging current account positions in Europe have prevailed. While the Southern and Western European countries have tended to run current account deficits, the current accounts of the Central and Northern European countries, in particular Germany,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009702880
Cover Image
Did US consumers 'save for a rainy day' before the Great Recession?
Anundsen, André Kallåk; Nymoen, Ragnar - 2015
The 'saving for a rainy day' hypothesis implies that households' saving decisions reflect that they can (rationally) predict future income declines. The empirical relevance of this hypothesis plays a key role in discussions of fiscal policy multipliers and it holds under the null that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010518800
Cover Image
On the linkages between stock prices and exchange rates : evidence from the banking crisis of 2007-2010
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Hunter, John; Ali, Faek Menla - 2013
rates ; causality-in-variance ; cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009727058
Cover Image
Stock markets, banks and long run economics growth : a panel cointegration-based analysis
Cavenaile, Laurent; Gengenbach, Christian; Palm, Franz C. - 2013
and economic growth. We make use of a Johansen-based panel cointegration methodology allowing for cross-country dependence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010223077