exposure led to persistently higher EU support in three important referenda and less success of Eurosceptic parties in …

We model EU countries' bank ratings using financial variables and allowing for intercept and slope heterogeneity. Our … aim is to assess whether "old" and "new" EU countries are rated differently and to determine whether "new" ones are … intercepts) are a crucial determinant of ratings. Whilst "new" EU countries typically have lower ratings than "old" ones, after …

functions which evaluate the entire predictive densities, including an evaluation of the impact of density features such as … individual density forecast performance. -- density forecasts ; forecast evaluation ; real-time data ; Survey of Professional …

. Evaluation studies of such programmes commonly rely on the conditional independence assumption (CIA), allowing a causal … success, these variables were neglected in evaluation studies so far due to data limitations. In this paper, we evaluate a new … administrative-survey data allows us to incorporate usually unobserved personality measures in the evaluation and investigate their …