Giglio, Stefano; Maggiori, Matteo; Stroebel, Johannes; … - 2020 - First draft: April 4th 2020, this draft: May 21, 2020
We analyze how investor expectations about economic growth and stock returns changed during the February-March 2020 … market had rallied 25% from its lowest point. Following the crash, the average investor turned more pessimistic about the … further extreme stock market declines and large declines in short-run real economic activity. In contrast, investor …