We construct the world's centers of gravity for human population, GDP and CO2 emissions by taking the best out of five … of gravity, we find a radical Western shift of GDP and CO2 emissions centers in the 19th century, in sharp contrast with … the stability of the demographic center of gravity. Both GDP and emissions trends are reversed in the first half of the 20 …

This paper examines the relationship between the logarithms of CO2 emissions and real GDP in China by applying …

Economic research has considered Private Debt a determinant of GDP growth for years. By keeping this perspective, the … objective of this work is to understand how much of the GDP response to a monetary shock is due to the variation of private debt …

interconnectedness. This paper explores this relationship, focusing on the impact of economic cycles and the role of GDP as a measure of … economic success. The paper highlights the historically dominant role of GDP, tracing its origins from Simon Kuznets' report in … for change in the aftermath of the syndemic crisis, and argues for a move away from GDP-centred measurements towards …

This paper aims to show why Irving Fisher's own data on interest rates and inflation in New York, London, Paris, Berlin … changes in inflation, not even in the long run. In Fisher's data, interest rates have more persistence than inflation and … change less than inflation over time. The Fisher effect is a misnomer unless it is taken to refer to what Fisher actually …

For a sample of sixteen OECD countries over the period 1980-2007 we show that, for given debt-GDP ratio, an increase in … is stronger for countries with higher average inflation or debt. …

same inflation or interest rate expectations can differently assess whether the level of the corresponding variable is … and affects durable spending and saving decisions. We also show that the variation in inflation preferences can be …

This paper investigates the predictive power of the shadow rate for the inflation rate in countries with a zero lower … parameters we compare the out-of-sample forecasting performance of an inflation model including a shadow rate interaction term … inflation rate are evaluated. The models including the shadow rate interaction term are found to outperform the benchmark ones …

intervals. Probability forecasts relating to UK output growth and inflation, obtained using a small macroeconometric model, are … presented. We discuss in detail the probability that inflation will fall within the Bank of England's target range and that … insights on the interrelatedness of output growth and inflation outcomes at different horizons. …