Showing 1 - 10 of 476
We present a unified dynamic framework to study the interconnections between international trade and business cycle … externalities and dynamic trade models that feature monopolistic competition, endogenous entry, and heterogeneous firms. The … that the model is isomorphic to dynamic trade models that embody love-of-variety and selection effects. In a quantitative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012171705
large parts of the world. In this paper we explore the financial and the trade channel in a unified framework and quantify … losses in the value of cross-border asset holdings. Calibrated to German data, the model predicts the trade channel to be …. The transmission via the financial channel triggers a much longer-lasting recession relative to the trade channel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011800166
This paper investigates the global macroeconomic consequences of country-specific oil-supply shocks. Our contribution is both theoretical and empirical. On the theoretical side, we develop a model for the global oil market and integrate this within a compact quarterly model of the global economy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010528313
factors from trade-related spillovers, and identify the Covid-19 shock using GDP growth forecast revisions of the IMF in 2020Q …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012293790
-spending shocks. Yet, since this trade-off between allocative efficiency and consumption risk sharing does not exist after certain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012491596
Under fixed exchange rates, fiscal policy is an effective tool. According to classical views because it impacts the real exchange rate, according to Keynesian views because it impacts output. Both views have merit because the effects of government spending are asymmetric. A spending cut lowers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012118599
We present a unified dynamic framework to study the interconnections between international trade and business cycle … externalities and dynamic trade models that feature monopolistic competition, endogenous entry, and heterogeneous firms. The … that the model is isomorphic to dynamic trade models that embody love-of-variety and selection effects. In a quantitative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013332104
negative, but they are also influenced most by the global financial crisis. Finally, we find a significant link between trade … ; business cycles ; decoupling ; trade ; dynamic correlation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003861779
provide our own estimates for the EU countries. A fiscal expansion raises output and consumption and reduces the trade balance …. Moreover, the stimulating effect of higher government purchases is weaker and the trade balance reduction is larger for more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003937804
This paper studies the design, effects and interactions of monetary and fiscal policies in the euro-area and between the euro-area and the non euro-area. To do so, a stylized three-country model of monetary and fiscal policy rules is constructed. It is analyzed how monetary and fiscal rules...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011509484