Showing 1 - 10 of 314
We use perturbation methods to derive a rule for the optimal risk-adjusted social cost of carbon (SCC) that … different aversions to risk and intertemporal fluctuations, convex damages, uncertainties in economic growth, atmospheric carbon …-run climate feedbacks. Our non-certainty-equivalent rule for the SCC incorporates precaution, risk insurance, and climate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011996310
We propose and implement a procedure to dynamically hedge climate change risk. We extract innovations from climate news … change hedge portfolios. We discipline the exercise by using third-party ESG scores of firms to model their climate risk … exposures. We show that this approach yields parsimonious and industry-balanced portfolios that perform well in hedging …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012024377
the impact of the recent reform on allowance prices. By including bounded rationality such as myopia or hedging …-ante in the decision making of the firms. Myopia and hedging requirements have little impact in the prereform market but … strongly drive market outcomes after the reform. In the post-reform market, hedging requirements in combination with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012291879
to higher delinquencies and interest rates, while exports are unaffected. Natural and financial hedging successfully mute …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014304470
We estimate forward-looking interest-rate reaction functions for the G3 economies and for a group of countries which recently adopted inflation targets. Some significant shifts in the conduct of monetary policy are detected in the G3 countries, especially in the US A and Japan. In contrast with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781553
This paper argues that probability forecasts convey information on the uncertainties that surround macroeconomic forecasts in a manner which is straightforward and which is preferable to other alternatives, including the use of confidence intervals. Probability forecasts relating to UK output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781626
This paper analyses the stochastic properties of and the bilateral linkages between the central bank policy rates of the US, the Eurozone, Australia, Canada, Japan and the UK using fractional integration and cointegration techniques respectively. The univariate analysis suggests a high degree of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619627
This paper introduces a framework to study the links between the supply of liquid assets for the financial market and the international allocation of economic activity. Private assets’ liquidity properties - their usefulness as collateral or media of exchange in financial transactions - affect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011587546
This paper aims to show why Irving Fisher's own data on interest rates and inflation in New York, London, Paris, Berlin, Calcutta, and Tokyo from 1825 to 1927 suggested to him that nominal interest rates adjusted neither quickly nor fully to changes in inflation, not even in the long run. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010496089
We propose a theory of indebted demand, capturing the idea that large debt burdens by households and governments lower aggregate demand, and thus natural interest rates. At the core of the theory is the simple yet under-appreciated observation that borrowers and savers differ in their marginal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012199991