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This paper applies volatility measures and VAR spectral analytic techniques to give a thorough description of the salient business cycle characteristics of central NIPA aggregates for the G7. Furthermore, their role in contributing to the supranational G7 and EURO15 cyclic dynamics is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011408998
Performance ranks introduce a trade-off for workers. They have to choose between signaling high productivity or … incentives underlying performance ranks. Treated workers receive either private or public ranks. In response, intrinsic … incentives from private ranks do not affect productivity. But publicly-ranked workers reduce productivity to conform to their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822075
agents optimize and absent bunching, ranks in the actual and optimal allocations become an invariant dimension. This allows … us to obtain optimal marginal tax rates as a function of ranks, and numerically illustrate the relationship between ranks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012174704
In the monthly ifo Business Survey around 9,000 German companies answer questions about their current business situation, expectations and plans for the near future as well as on other business variables. This paper provides an overview of all regular questions (monthly, quarterly, bi-annually,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013170991
We generate and analyze data pertinent to the role of caselaw in England's economic development during the Industrial Revolution. Applying topic modeling to a corpus of 67,455 reports on English court cases, we construct annual time series of caselaw developments between 1765 and 1865. We then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013453766
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In this paper we re-investigate the comovements of interest rates in the G7-countries. We propose a structured modus operandi to analyze the time series characteristics of interest rates and to test for common features. We conduct cointegration, serial correlation common feature and codependence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003807777
This paper conducts a broad-based comparison of iterated and direct multi-step forecasting approaches applied to both univariate and multivariate models. Theoretical results and Monte Carlo simulations suggest that iterated forecasts dominate direct forecasts when estimation error is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003807908