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Online ratings play an important role in many markets. However, how fast they can reveal seller types remains unclear. To study this question, we propose a new model in which a buyer learns about the seller’s type from previous ratings and her own experience and rates the seller if she learns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014556695
This paper sheds new light on a long-standing puzzle in the international finance literature, namely, that exchange rate expectations appear inaccurate and even irrational. We find for a comprehensive dataset that individual forecasters' performance is skill-based. 'Superior' forecasters show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832110
quantitative models and rating agencies are likely to produce highly inaccurate predictions of ratings during periods of financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832133
Peer reviews and rankings today are the backbone of research governance, but recently came under scrutiny. They take explicitly or implicitly agency theory as a theoretical basis. The emerging psychological economics opens a new perspective. As scholarly research is a mainly curiosity driven...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003887431
Strong forces lead to a withering of academia as it exists today. The major causal forces are the rankings mania, increased division of labor in research, intense publication pressure, academic fraud, dilution of the concept of "university" and inadequate organizational forms for modern...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008697845
prior belief. This intercept heterogeneity suggests that each country's rating is assigned uniquely, after controlling for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003974520
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In this paper we ague that any meaningful bibliometric evaluation of researchers needs to take into account that research productivity follows distinct life cycles. Using an encompassing data set portraying the research behavior of German academic economists, we first show that research...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003301129