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We model the optimal reaction of a public PAYG pension system to demographic shocks. We compare the ex-ante first best and second best solution of a Ramsey planner with full commitment to the outcome under simple third best rules that mimic the pension systems observed in the real world. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003771791
We reassess the "scarringʺ hypothesis by Clark et al. (2001), which states that unemployment experienced in the past reduces a person's current life satisfaction even after the person has become reemployed. Our results suggest that the scar from past unemployment operates via worsened...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003790758
-sectional firm dynamics ; lumpy investment ; countercyclical risk ; aggregate shocks ; idiosyncratic shocks ; heterogeneous firms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003888063
-varying uncertainty, highlighted in the literature. -- Ss model ; RBC model ; lumpy investment ; countercyclical risk ; aggregate shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003898815
Following the collapse of the Berlin Wall, the birth rate halved in East Germany. Despite their small sizes, the … cohorts conceived during this period of socio-economic turmoil were, as they grew up in reunified Germany, markedly more … the period of turmoil. We highlight risk attitude as an important selection mechanism, beyond education and other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013174486
This paper documents earnings dynamics over the life-cycle and income level using a large administrative database from German tax records. I find that labor earnings display important deviations from the typical assumptions of linearity and normality. For the bottom earners, large income changes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012534545
recessions. First, we show that the consumption risk of short-time work is considerably smaller compared to unemployment using … household survey data from Germany. Second, we build a New Keynesian model with incomplete asset markets and labor market … risk of workers, which mitigates their precautionary savings motive. Using a quantitative model analysis, we show that this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013332143
This paper investigates the vulnerability of households to climatic disasters in the low-lying atoll nation of Tuvalu …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011547889
We examine the supply-side characteristics - unskilled labor, imported input intensity, dependence on inputs from China, production complexity - that determine different potential vulnerabilities of traded products to the COVID-19 pandemic. Relying on monthly exports at the product level by all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013167964
This article studies the effects of tax competition on the provision of public goods under business risk and partial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009748378