in their unemployment rate and not a decline in labour force participation rate. Policymakers should take account of …

increase in economic policy uncertainty on unemployment in recessions and expansions. We find the response of unemployment to … confirms that the contribution of EPU shocks to the volatility of unemployment at business cycle frequencies is markedly larger …

We build an analytically and computationally tractable stochastic equilibrium model of unemployment in heterogeneous … countercyclical unemployment, and is simultaneously consistent with procyclical reallocation, countercyclical separations and a … negatively-sloped Beveridge curve. Moreover, the model exhibits unemployment duration dependence, which (when calibrated to long …

conditions are a major determinant of entrepreneurship. Higher local unemployment rates are found to increase the probability … individuals who are initially not employed respond more to high local unemployment rates by starting businesses than wage … influences resulting in higher levels of business creation. Using the regression estimates for the local unemployment rate …

In recessions, unemployment increases despite the - perhaps counterintuitive - fact that the number of unemployed … workers finding jobs expands. On net, unemployment rises only because even more workers lose their jobs. We propose a theory … of unemployment fluctuations resting on this countercyclicality of gross flows from unemployment into employment. In …

unemployment and its duration distribution. Using the SIPP, we document the relation between workers' (gross and net) occupational … mobility and unemployment duration over the long run and business cycle. To interpret this evidence, we develop an analytically … countercyclical net occupational mobility, the large volatility of unemployment and the cyclical properties of the unemployment …

downward rigidity, and magnifying the response of unemployment to negative shocks. We also consider layoffs and show that for a …