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Modelling structural breaks in the US, UK and Japanese unemployment rates

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria (contributor); … - 2006

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003364224

Unemployment in the United States and in Europe : a contrast and the reasons

Solow, Robert - 2000

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781501

A letter and encouragement : does information increase post-secondary enrollment of UI recipients?

Barr, Andrew; Turner, Sarah E. - 2017

For individuals who experience job loss, enrollment in post-secondary programs may provide an opportunity to improve future employment outcomes. However, decisions to enroll may be hampered by insufficient information about the benefits and costs and the necessary steps and assistance available...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011646937

Optimal income taxation with unemployment and wage responses : a sufficient statistics approach

Kroft, Kory; Kucko, Kavan; Lehmann, Etienne; Schmieder, … - 2017

We derive a sufficient statistics optimal income tax formula in a general model that incorporates unemployment and … resembles a Negative Income Tax than an Earned Income Tax Credit relative to the case where unemployment and wage responses are …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011735961

Google it up! : a Google Trendsbased uncertainty index for the United States and Australia

Castelnuovo, Efrem; Tran, Trung Duc - 2017

significant contribution to unemployment dynamics by GTU shocks in the United States. Differently, the contribution of GTU shocks … to unemployment dynamics in Australia is found to be much milder and substantially lower than that of monetary policy …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011735982

The actual U.S. unemployment rate was 24.4% in May 2020

Komlos, John - 2020

The official U.S. unemployment rate is an inadequate measure of actual labor market conditions. This poses a major … challenge for researchers and confuses both the public and policy makers. A new definition of unemployment is proposed. It … unemployed. We find that the actual unemployment rate in May 2020 was 24.4% or 183% of the headline rate of 13.3%. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012234485

Variable selection and inference for multi-period forecasting problems

Pesaran, M. Hashem; Pick, Andreas; Timmermann, Allan - 2009

This paper conducts a broad-based comparison of iterated and direct multi-step forecasting approaches applied to both univariate and multivariate models. Theoretical results and Monte Carlo simulations suggest that iterated forecasts dominate direct forecasts when estimation error is a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003807908

Consumption risk sharing over the business cycle : the role of small firms' access to credit markets

Hoffmann, Mathias; Stewen, Iryna - 2009

Consumption risk sharing among U.S. federal states increases in booms and decreases in recessions. We find that small firms' access to credit markets plays an important role in explaining this stylized fact: business cycle fluctuations in aggregate risk sharing are more pronounced in states in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003807913

A multivariate long-memory model with structural breaks

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria (contributor); … - 2007

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003496720

Deterministic versus stochastic seasonal fractional integration and structural breaks

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria (contributor); … - 2007

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003497650