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Fiscal sustainability and low interest rates : a note
Werding, Martin - 2021
In this paper, I demonstrate that an indicator which is commonly used to assess the long-term fiscal sustainability of public finances in EU member states (“S2”) is also defined if government borrowing rates are assumed to be permanently lower than the growth rate of GDP. I illustrate this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012421177
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The macroeconomic effects of funding U.S. infrastructure
Malley, James R.; Philippopulos, Apostolēs - 2022
This paper quantitatively assesses the macroeconomic effects of the recently agreed U.S. bipartisan infrastructure … types of infrastructure spending and linkages between the final and intermediate goods sectors. We find that infrastructure … multipliers above unity if infrastructure spending and rising public debt are financed by consumption, dividend and labour income …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012801569
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Consolidating the Covid debt
Keuschnigg, Christian; Johs, Julian; Stevens, Jacob - 2021
One of the main functions of public debt is to smooth taxes and spending over time. In the Covid crisis, the Maastricht deficit restrictions were temporarily suspended to allow for large temporary deficits. As recovery sets in, countries are confronted with the task of consolidating the Covid...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796971
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Understanding the emergence of public debt
Fochmann, Martin; Sadrieh, Abdolkarim; Weimann, Joachim - 2014
We use a controlled laboratory experiment with and without overlapping generations to study the emergence of public debt. Public debt is chosen by popular vote, pays for public goods, and is repaid with general taxes. With a single generation, public debt is accumulated prudently, never leading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010358972
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Climate change impacts on public finances around the world
Barrage, Lint - 2024
This article reviews a rapidly growing literature on how climatic risks and events affect public finances around the world. This literature includes empirical evaluations of how past climatic events have affected fiscal outcomes, empirical and model-based assessments of how climatic risks affect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015098614
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How can a country 'graduate' from procyclical fiscal policy? : evidence from China
Fuest, Clemens; Xing, Jing - 2015
In this study, we analyze the cyclicality of fiscal policies in China during the period 1978-2013. We find that the cyclicality of local government spending in China significantly affects the cyclicality of total government spending. By employing both time-series and province-level panel data,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011342322
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Fiscal adjustments and business cycle synchronization
Agnello, Luca; Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Sousa, Ricardo M. - 2013
Using a panel of annual data for 20 countries we show that synchronized fiscal consolidation (stimulus) programmes in different countries make their business cycles more closely linked, especially in the case of fiscal adjustments lasting 2 or 3 years. We also find: (i) little evidence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010212384
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Tax cuts starve the beast! : evidence from Germany
Fuest, Clemens; Neumeier, Florian; Stöhlker, Daniel - 2019
infrastructure declines by ten cents. We find no significant effects on spending on education, legal protection and public safety, or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157329
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The effects of fiscal institutions on public finance : a survey of the empirical evidence
Kirchgässner, Gebhard - 2001
This paper surveys the empirical research on fiscal institutions of the last three decades. The main results are: (i) Constitutional or statutory fiscal limitations have in most cases proved to be effective in cutting down public expenditure, revenue, and debt. (ii) Budgetary proce-dures matter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011408436
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Public finances solvency in the Euro Area : true or false?
Afonso, António; Coelho, José Carlos - 2022
We assess public finances solvency for Euro Area countries using quarterly data between 1999Q1 and 2020Q4. Through a country-by-country analysis, the answer to the title question is true. For most countries, (i) the primary budget balance reacts positively to the lagged public debt ratio and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013365375