Showing 1 - 10 of 231
The conventional wisdom that inflation expectations respond to the level of the price of oil (or the price of gasoline … explained by a large increase in gasoline prices. However, on average, gasoline price shocks account for only 39% of the … support for the conventional wisdom. Using a new structural vector regression model, however, we demonstrate that gasoline …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012263320
substantial price differences between gas from different export countries, and do prices move together? Time series of Norwegian …, Dutch and Russian gas export prices to Germany in 1990-1998 are examined. Cointegration tests show that the different border … prices for gas to Germany move proportionally over time, indicating an integrated gas market (the Law of One Price holds). We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781639
about cointegration relationships, price adjustments and relative values. We propose the use of regime-switching models to …, conventional linear models of price dynamics such as the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) can lead to erroneous inferences … address these issues. Our regime switching model uses price data to infer whether pricing is oil-driven (integrated) or gas …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486860
In this paper we investigate the time-varying relationship between oil and natural gas in the UK. We develop a model where relative prices can move between pricing-regimes; markets switch between being decoupled and integrated. Our model endogenously accounts for periods where oil and natural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010212645
shocks have large and persistent price effects, while output effects tend to be moderate. The 2022 natural gas price spike … winter. Counterfactual simulations of an embargo on natural gas imports from Russia indicate similar positive price and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576948
An individual’s initial experiences with a common good, such as gasoline, can shape their behavior for decades. We … incomes and those in cities. Combining data on many cohorts, we then show that large increases in gasoline prices between the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012035053
Price Fixing Act on gasoline and diesel price levels. Using the synthetic control method, we construct a counterfactual and … Price Fixing Act came into effect, gasoline prices are 23.4% lower than the synthetic control predicts. The effect on diesel … price regulations. Consumers demand stricter fuel price regulations to provide transparency about the current price level …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012415508
Natural gas is likely to become increasingly important in the future. Understanding the stochastic underpinnings of natural gas prices will be critical, both to policy analysts and to market participants. To this end, we investigate the potential presence of jumps in natural gas spot prices in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010235818
transfer scheme called "gas price brake." A unique feature of this energy price relief measure is that both households and the … industry receive a transfer that increases in one's actual gas price. In a formal model, we show that such a transfer scheme … overcome this adverse effect of the gas price brake. An equivalent critique applies to the electricity price brake that is to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013473667
became physically integrated. The oil-linked Continental gas price became dominant, due to both the large volume of the … opening up of the Interconnector (1998) the UK gas market had neither government price regulation nor a physical Continental … oil and electricity, took place. Using monthly price data, we find a highly integrated market where wholesale demand seems …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002578053