Showing 1 - 10 of 418
This paper takes a financial market perspective in examining the relationship between oil prices, the US dollar and asset prices, and it exploits the heteroskedasticity for the identification of causality in a multifactor model. It finds a bidirectional causality between the US dollar and oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009748353
This paper merges two branches of the literature. On one hand we study a heterogeneous agents framework to model exchange rates and stock prices. On the other hand we model the relationship between these two series through a DSGE model. Investors choose one of two rules to form their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009748370
We study the role of asset revaluation in the monetary transmission mechanism. We build an analytical heterogeneous-agents model with two main ingredients: i) rare disasters; ii) heterogeneous beliefs. The model captures time-varying risk premia and precautionary savings in a setting that nests...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014514921
Currencies of countries with persistent current account surpluses and high foreign currency denominated assets such as the Swiss franc and Japanese yen are under a persistent appreciation pressure, what restricts the degree of freedom in the choice of exchange rate regime. Official announcements...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011392509
regime. Given flexible exchange rates, a negative risk premium on the domestic interest rate can emerge. Empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011309557
This paper analyses the effects of oil prices and exchange rates on sectoral stock returns in the BRICS-T countries over the period from 2 January 2001 to 22 March 2021. After estimating a benchmark linear model, the possible presence of structural breaks is investigated using the Bai and Perron...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012625861
We empirically assess the interlinkages between sovereign risk, measured in terms of CDS spreads, and exchange rates for a sample of emerging markets. Our period of analysis includes periods of severe stress, such as the Global Financial Crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic and the Ukrainian War. Using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014505308
the futures price by the estimated risk premium, a common problem is that there are as many measures of the market … expectation as there are estimates of the risk premium. We propose a general solution to this problem that allows us to select the … most accurate estimate of the expectation for any set of risk premium estimates. We illustrate this approach by solving the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011434566
. Analysis of a new dataset of daily stock prices and fiscal news in Japan supports these predictions. We introduce a method to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015052575
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is in the process of re-inventing itself with bilateral and multilateral surveillance emerging as a key function. The paper analyses how IMF surveillance announcements may be influenced by political power that member countries exert at the IMF. First, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003976542