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-step approach to assess the impact of fiscal and external sustainability on sovereign risk dynamics for a panel of 27 European … sustainability, through the cointegration between government revenues and expenditures, and of external sustainability, derived from …. Noticeably, we show that an improvement of both fiscal and external sustainability lead to a reduction in sovereign risk. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486806
We test the hypothesis that the government bond markets in the Eurozone are more fragile and more susceptible to self-fulfilling liquidity crises than in stand-alone countries. We find evidence that a significant part of the surge in the spreads of the PIGS countries in the Eurozone during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009540108
This paper qualifies the view of pronounced overpricing of sovereign bonds for the so-called GIIPS countries during the financial crisis. We use annual data for 21 OECD countries from 1980 to 2012. As opposed to related studies, our data set allows us to contrast the pricing of macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010393624
In this paper we analyse debt stabilization in a monetary union that features endogenous risk premia. In particular, we analyse debt stabilization in two diametrically opposed regimes. In the first regime, the "national fiscal discipline regime", financial markets impose sovereign risk premia...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011350136
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003364216
We examine the sustainability of public finances and its determinants for 19 Eurozone countries from 1995 to 2020. We …-varying coefficients, we find that fiscal sustainability increases with growth, fiscal balances and fiscal rules indices, and decreases …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013162289
The paper analyzes the dynamic effects of a total factor productivity shock and an interest rate risk premium shock in … bargaining are introduced. We find that a negative total factor productivity shock primarily has effects on the economy … significantly reduces the initial response of the unemployment rate. In case of a temporary productivity shock, sticky wages imply …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009153857
serious in magnitude and can put the sustainability of public finances at risk. However, there is only limited in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012050685
sustainability outcomes? We approach this question by looking at the evolution of fiscal sustainability in Poland, which is an … fiscal sustainability in Poland has significantly improved in the post-crisis period of 2009-2017: we detect both improvement … of the fiscal sustainability parameters and structural breaks in the fiscal outcomes after the crisis. Namely, in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011900847
We assess the sustainability of the public finances of Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal and Spain (GIIPS), allowing for … sustainability when debt gets "too high" relative to a threshold which is not necessarily fixed but varies with the level of debt … effects from one Eurozone country to another. -- debt sustainability ; financial crisis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009307965