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Is there a link between loose monetary conditions, credit growth, house price booms, and financial instability? This paper analyzes the role of interest rates and credit in driving house price booms and busts with data spanning 140 years of modern economic history in the advanced economies. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010468583
This paper presents a dynamic theory of housing market fluctuations. It develops a life-cycle model where households are heterogeneous with respect to income and preferences, and mortgage lending is restricted by a down-payment requirement. The market interaction of young credit-constrained...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398664
We quantify the housing-consumption channel in mortgage demand according to which households borrow more following house-price increases since housing and non-housing consumption are imperfect substitutes. To identify this channel, we take a structural approach to mortgage demand and supply,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014637339
This paper investigates the US housing market from just before the Great Recession onward (2006-2019) and assesses the viability of stock-flow matching in generating the observed outcomes. The paper documents that the probability a house sells declines sharply after listing for two weeks....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013419282
Provided there are positive external benefits attached to the historic character of buildings, owners of properties in designated conservation areas benefit from a reduction in uncertainty regarding the future of their area. At the same time, the restrictions put in place to ensure the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010344812
prices from variation that is plausibly exogenous. Applying this strategy to a micro data set from England between 1995 and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010476671
comparing the differences across neighbourhoods. We apply our method to 47 conservation area neighbourhoods in England in which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010483588
% decrease in burglaries across England and Wales since 2019. Second, this treatment effect exhibits heterogeneity according to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014467371
, and the duration of carry drawdowns. To explore the determinants of the length of carry losses, a model of carry drawdown … duration is estimated. We find evidence that drawdown duration varies systematically with expected return from the carry trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011568722
This paper unveils a new resource for macroeconomic research: a long-run dataset covering disaggregated bank credit for 17 advanced economies since 1870. The new data show that the share of mortgages on banks’ balance sheets doubled in the course of the 20th century, driven by a sharp rise of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010412763