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Deterministic versus stochastic seasonal fractional integration and structural breaks
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria (contributor);  … - 2007
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003497650
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Is market fear persistent? : a long-memory analysis
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; … - 2017
This paper investigates the degree of persistence of market fear. Specifically, two different long-memory approaches (R/S analysis with the Hurst exponent method and fractional integration) are used to analyse persistence of the VIX index over the sample period 2004-2016, as well as some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011669019
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Forecasting random walks under drift instability
Pesaran, M. Hashem (contributor); Pick, Andreas (contributor) - 2008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003711763
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A multivariate long-memory model with structural breaks
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria (contributor);  … - 2007
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003496720
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A long-memory model for multiple cycles with an application to the S&P500
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2024
from 1 January 1970 to 26 October 2023 as an illustration. The estimation results based on the first differenced logged …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014470433
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Networks of volatility spillovers among stock markets
Baumöhl, Eduard; Kočenda, Evžen; Lyócsa, Štefan; … - 2017
volatility spillovers during global financial crisis and tranquil periods. The resulting market interconnectedness is depicted by … between markets and somewhat weaker temporal effects with regard to the US equity market - volatility spillovers decrease when … markets are characterized by greater temporal proximity. Volatility spillovers also present a high degree of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011654569
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High and low prices and the range in the European stock markets : a long-memory approach
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; Poza, Carlos - 2019
This paper uses fractional integration techniques to examine the stochastic behaviour of high and low stock prices in Europe and then to test for the possible existence of long-run linkages between them by looking at the range, i.e., the difference between the two logged series. Specifically,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022262
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Persistence in the Russian stock market volatility indices
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; … - 2018
volatility índices (namely the originally created RTSVX and the new RVI that has replaced it), using daily data over the period … assumed to follow a white noise or autocorrelated process, it is confirmed by the rolling window estimation, and it holds for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011903723
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Nominal and real wages in the UK, 1750 - 2015 : mean reversion, persistence and structural breaks
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2022
This paper analyses the stochastic properties of UK nominal and real wages over the period 1750-2015 using fractional integration techniques. Both the original series and logged ones are analysed. The results generally suggest that nominal wages exhibit a higher degree of persistence, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013417630
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Expectation dispersion, uncertainty, and the reaction to news
Born, Benjamin; Dovern, Jonas; Enders, Zeno - 2020
Releases of key macroeconomic indicators are closely watched by financial markets. We investigate the role of expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of the financial market response to news decreases with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404549