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A neglected semi-stylized fact of daily stock returns
Davies, Patrick Laurie; Krämer, Walter - 2016
We plot aggregated daily stock returns with absolute value less than x against x and show empirically that this produces a typical spoon-shaped pattern which indicates a special type of asymmetry which has not been discussed before. This pattern disappears when individual returns are averaged; it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011444114
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High and low prices and the range in the European stock markets : a long-memory approach
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; Poza, Carlos - 2019
This paper uses fractional integration techniques to examine the stochastic behaviour of high and low stock prices in Europe and then to test for the possible existence of long-run linkages between them by looking at the range, i.e., the difference between the two logged series. Specifically,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022262
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Testing for persistence in German green and brown stock market indices
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; Solarin … - 2024
estimation of a GARCH (1,1) model for stock returns shows that their conditional volatility is characterised by lower persistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014578571
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Unemployment persistence in Europe : evidence from the 27 EU countries
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; Trejo, … - 2021
This paper investigates unemployment persistence in the 27 EU member states by applying fractional integration methods to quarterly data (both seasonally adjusted and unadjusted) from 2000q1 to 2020q4. The obtained evidence points to high levels of persistence in all cases. With seasonally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012668044
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Cash flow duration and the term structure of equity returns
Weber, Michael - 2016
The term structure of equity returns is downward-sloping: stocks with high cash flow duration earn 1.10% per month … lower returns than short-duration stocks in the cross section. I create a measure of cash flow duration at the firm level … for short-sale constraints, and find the negative cross-sectional relationship between cash flow duration and returns is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011521939
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Persistence in ESG and conventional stock market indices
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; … - 2021
This paper uses R/S analysis and fractional integration techniques to examine the persistence of two sets of 12 ESG and conventional stock price indices from the MSCI database over the period 2007-2020 for a large number of both developed and emerging markets. Both sets of results imply that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012520863
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Investors' trading behaviour and stock market volatility during crisis periods : a dual long-memory model for the Korean stock exchange
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Karanasos, Menelaos; Yfanti, … - 2019
This study examines the impact of investors' buy and sell trades on Korean stock market volatility across two crisis events, the Asian crisis of 1997 and the 2008 global financial crash. We investigate the trading behaviour of domestic vs. foreign and institutional vs. individual investors. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012138660
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Predictability of bull and bear markets : a new look at forecasting stock market regimes (and returns) in the US
Haase, Felix; Neuenkirch, Matthias - 2021
The empirical literature of stock market predictability mainly suffers from model uncertainty and parameter instability. To meet this challenge, we propose a novel approach that combines the documented merits of diffusion indices, regime-switching models, and forecast combination to predict the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012416151
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Persistence in the Russian stock market volatility indices
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; … - 2018
assumed to follow a white noise or autocorrelated process, it is confirmed by the rolling window estimation, and it holds for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011903723
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Expectation dispersion, uncertainty, and the reaction to news
Born, Benjamin; Dovern, Jonas; Enders, Zeno - 2020
Releases of key macroeconomic indicators are closely watched by financial markets. We investigate the role of expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of the financial market response to news decreases with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404549