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panel difference-in-differences estimations and an event study design. Motivated by the claim that China and Russia … purposefully undermine US sanction efforts, we test whether target countries' trade with China and Russia increases under US trade … sanctions. We find no evidence for systematic sanction busting. Russia does not change its trade patterns with sanctioned …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013455721
Using Russia as a case study and a global VAR model as a methodological tool, we analyze how heightened geopolitical … response functions in response to the skyrocketing Russian geo-political risk shock after Russia's invasion of Ukraine revealed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014452016
fragmentation? Do they comply with or circumvent Western sanctions on Russia? Using comprehensive transaction-level bill of lading … firms in non-sanctioning countries significantly reduced exports of sanctioned products to Russia (and Belarus) if their … sanctions. Sanctioning MNEs expanded exports of sanctioned products to both sanctioning and Russia-friendly countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014529225
of policy (geopolitics), and study how the saliency of this dimension may play in favor of the incumbent group. My …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009130179
Politicians travel extensively abroad, for various reasons. One purpose of external visits is to improve bilateral economic relations. In this paper, I examine the effect of state visits on international trade. I use a large data set covering the travel activities of the heads of state of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003202927
We assess the impact of China's bilateral political relations with three main trading partners-the US, Germany, and the UK-on current account balances and exchange rates, over the 1960Q1-2022Q4 period. Relying on the lag-augmented VAR approach with time-varying Granger causality tests, we find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014443830
With ever-increasing political tensions between China and Russia on one side and the EU and the US on the other, it … to cooperate rather than turning away from each other. By imposing a trade war on Russia, the political West could …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013186412
The Russian invasion of Ukraine has caused disruptions in international trade and highlighted the dependency of small open economies in Europe on imports, especially of energy. These events may have changed Europeans' attitude towards globalization. We study two waves of representative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362395
In an interconnected world, economic and political interests inevitably reach beyond national borders. Since policy choices generate external economic and political costs, foreign state and non-state actors have an interest in inflencing policy actions in other sovereign countries to their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011987983
Since Jean Monnet conceived the Coal and Steel Community, free trade has successfully prevented serious conflicts in Europe between democratically governed States with market economies. After six countries established the European Community, this principle has been extended successfully to its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009571054