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A growing literature uses changes in residual volatility for identifying structural shocks in vector autoregressive … in applications in this context. This study reviews the different volatility models and points out their advantages and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010509631
direct forecasts when estimation error is a first-order concern, i.e. in small samples and for long forecast horizons …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003807908
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003499671
) analysis. Such restrictions are typically just-identifying but can be checked by utilizing changes in volatility. This paper … reviews and contrasts the volatility models that have been used for this purpose. Three main approaches have been used …, exogenously generated changes in the unconditional residual covariance matrix, changing volatility modelled by a Markov switching …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010249640
volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003749656
This paper revisits the well-known VAR evidence on the real effects of uncertainty shocks by Bloom (Econometrica 2009(3): 623-685. doi: 10.3982/ECTA6248). We replicate the results in a narrow sense using Eviews. In a wide sense, we extend his study by working with a smooth transition-VAR...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012263375
financial volatility. Uncertainty shocks hitting in recessions are found to trigger a more abrupt drop and a faster recovery in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011718461
by evaluating a mixed-frequency time-varying parameter VAR with stochastic volatility (MF-TVP-SV-VAR). Overall, the MFTVP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154665
Using 136 United States macroeconomic indicators from 1973 to 2017, and a factor augmented vector autoregression (FAVAR) framework with sign restrictions, we investigate the effects of three structural macroeconomic shocks - monetary, demand, and supply - on the labour market outcomes of black...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157899
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003711763