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I use daily data from fifty major cities to investigate the early effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on housing market in the United States. I find that starting from the second half of March, 2020, new home listings and pending home sales started to decrease. By mid-April, certain markets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012224225
The renewed momentum in the German housing market has led to concerns that Germany is vulnerable to asset price shocks. In this paper, we apply recently developed recursive unit root tests to detect the beginning and the end of potential speculative bubbles in Germany over the sample period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009764458
We examine the evolution of spatial house price dispersion during Germany’s recent housing boom. Using a dataset of sales listings, we find that house price dispersion has significantly increased, which is driven entirely by rising price variation across postal codes. We show that both price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015048979
We estimate a nonlinear VAR to quantify the impact of economic policy uncertainty shocks originating in the US on the Canadian unemployment rate in booms and busts. We find strong evidence in favor of asymmetric spillover effects. Unemployment in Canada is shown to react to uncertainty shocks in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011862894
This paper presents a dynamic theory of housing market fluctuations. It develops a life-cycle model where households are heterogeneous with respect to income and preferences, and mortgage lending is restricted by a down-payment requirement. The market interaction of young credit-constrained...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398664
-sized uncertainty shock generates a larger contraction in real activity when growth is low (as in recessions) than when growth is high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012628705
What are the effects of beliefs, sentiment, and uncertainty, over the business cycle? To answer this question, we develop a behavioral New Keynesian macroeconomic model, in which we relax the assumption of rational expectations. Agents are, instead, boundedly rational: they have a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012294890
stronger than that of the long end (i.e., of long term ones). In other words, a financial uncertainty shock causes a temporary … recovery in real activity after a financial uncertainty shock. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012029082
In this paper we perform a meta-analysis of the effects of monetary policies on output and prices. We use a sample of published papers on the effects of monetary policies in different countries. There is a large variation in the estimated effects of monetary policies on output and prices. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011449687
; 798, which corresponds to 16:1 percent of the average house price in Indiana. The estimation results show a significant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010477084