Showing 1 - 10 of 616
This paper investigates the degree of persistence of market fear. Specifically, two different long-memory approaches (R …/S analysis with the Hurst exponent method and fractional integration) are used to analyse persistence of the VIX index over the … properties change over time: in normal periods it exhibits anti-persistence (there is a negative correlation between its past and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011669019
This paper investigates the effects of equity and bond portfolio in.ows on exchange rate volatility, using monthly … bilateral data for the US vis-a-vis eight Asian developing and emerging countries (India, Indonesia, South Korea, Pakistan, Hong … probability Markov-switching model. We find that net equity (bond) inflows drive the exchange rate to a high (low) volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011387464
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003599280
This paper defines economic slumps as sequences of structural breaks exhibiting a specific pattern. We identify 58 such episodes between 1950 and 2008 among 138 countries, and then examine the phases of decline and their duration. In some countries declines last extremely long, and we put...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010234524
framework is suitable to analyse both mean and volatility spillovers, and also allows for possible parameter shifts resulting … food crisis and 2008 financial crisis leading to the most significant shifts in the (volatility) spillovers between the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010498617
. -- high frequency data ; long memory ; volatility persistence ; structural breaks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009736739
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003711763
We add to the literature on the influence of the global financial cycle (GFC) and gyrations in capital flows. First, we build a new measure of the GFC based on a structural factor approach, which incorporates theoretical priors in its definition. This measure can also be decomposed in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012129742
We construct several measures for the global financial cycle using dynamic factor models and data for 25 advanced and emerging countries over 1980-2019. Our results suggest that global cycles in asset prices and capital flows are highly similar and synchronized, especially during crisis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013186798
exhibit a higher degree of persistence, which reflects relatively long lags between inflation and wage adjustments. Endogenous … subsample estimates imply an increase over time in the degree of persistence of both series. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013417630